Abstract #300508


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JSM 2002 Abstract #300508
Activity Number: 321
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 14, 2002 : 12:00 PM to 1:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Physical & Engineering Sciences*
Abstract - #300508
Title: Modeling An Unknown Survival Function Using Change Points and a Parametric Family of Survival Functions
Author(s): Dean Fearn*+ and Elliott Nebenzahl
Affiliation(s): California State University, Hayward and California State University, Hayward
Address: 25800 Carlos Bee Boulevard, Hayward, California, 94542-3087, U.S.A.
Keywords: survival functions ; change points
Abstract:

Suppose that items live their lives in a series of environments that change when the items reach known ages called change points. Modeling the survival function of such items over their entire lives, using a parametric survival function that has only a few parameters, may not provide an adequate fit to the survival function. We present a method of fitting the survival function, using a separate fit of the parameters of the survival function for each interval between change points. This allows the estimated survival function to take the changing environments into account. The effectiveness of this procedure is demonstrated. A comparison between this method and other methods is given.


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Revised March 2002