Abstract #300476


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JSM 2002 Abstract #300476
Activity Number: 403
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 15, 2002 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Stat. Sciences*
Abstract - #300476
Title: Bayesian Analysis of Robust Mixture Modeling Using the Multivariate t Distribution
Author(s): Tsung-I Lin*+ and Jack Lee
Affiliation(s): National Chiao Tung University and National Chiao Tung University
Address: 1001 TA Hsueh Road, Hsinchu, International, 30050, Taiwan
Keywords: Bayesian prediction ; Gibbs sampling ; Maximum likelihood estimation ; MCMC ; Posterior mode ; Proper prior
Abstract:

Finite mixture models using the multivariate t distribution provides a useful extension of the normal distribution for the modeling of data containing groups of observations with longer than normal tails or atypical observations. In this paper, we consider a Bayesian approach to t mixture models, while assuming a fixed number of components. Our specification of the prior distributions are proper but weakly informative. For parameters estimation, efficient EM-type algorithms, the ECM and ECME algorithm are derived based on the observed data and partially observed future values. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) schemes are also developed to obtain more accurate Bayesian inference for parameters. Issues related to the assessment of MCMC convergence are also considered. Numerical results are illustrated with real data.


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