Abstract #300157


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JSM 2001 Abstract #300157
Activity Number: 259
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 8, 2001 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Sports*
Abstract - #300157
Title: An Intelligent Bayesian Approach to College Football Rankings
Author(s): Ed Kambour*+
Affiliation(s): PROS
Address: 3223 Smith Street, Houston, Texas, 77006,
Keywords:
Abstract:

One of the hot topics in sports, particularly College football, is the use of "computer" ratings systems. The advent of the Bowl Championship Series has heightened interest. A least squares estimator of ratings will be introduced. This method will be extended to a generalized least squares (GLS) method that accounts for heterogeniety and time-series effects. The GLS method will enhanced by including prior information involving the teams' past performance. The resulting Bayesian approach utilizes Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods, specifically Gibbs Sampling. Results from past NCAA Division I seasons will be used as examples.


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