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WITHDRAWN - Spatial Analysis on Hepatitis in Punjab, Pakistan during 2010-14 and Interpolation of Disease Rates (306663)

Keywords: Autocorrelation, Moran's I, Hotspot, Kriging

Increasing rate of Hepatitis cases is world wise concerns. Pakistan is one the highest rated countries in the world where not only hepatitis rate is so high but also increasing very rapidly. Therefore, a microscopic spatial analysis of the hepatitis infection that can provide scientific information for further intervention and disease control is needed. Tehsil wise percentage of infection cases recorded by the Punjab, Bureau of Statistics in Multiple Indicator Cluster survey were included in this study. Changing pattern of infection rates were observed by the used of spatial autocorrelation and interpolation tools. Moran’s I plots and Hotspot analysis were conducted to identify the high risk areas. A comparison of Ordinary and Universal kriging techniques was provided the estimates of the non-sample areas. The finding of the analysis showed that the areas that are far away from the capital of the districts are more vulnerable as compare to the others. The analysis also pointed out that the areas belong to the southern part of the Punjab like Rajanpur and Hafizabad are the high-risk clusters.