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Thursday, May 17
Machine Learning
Statistical Machine Learning with Business Applications
Thu, May 17, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
Regency Ballroom A
 

Shrinking Characteristics of Precision Matrix Estimators (304767)

*Aaron J. Molstad, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 
Adam J. Rothman, University of Minnesota 

Keywords: Alternating direction method of multipliers, linear discriminant analysis, majorize-minimize, precision matrix estimation, prediction

We propose a framework to shrink a user-specified characteristic of a precision matrix estimator that is needed to fit a predictive model. Estimators in our framework minimize the Gaussian negative log-likelihood plus an $L_1$ penalty on a linear or affine function evaluated at the optimization variable corresponding to the precision matrix. We establish convergence rate bounds for these estimators and propose an alternating direction method of multipliers algorithm for 15 their computation. Our simulation studies show that our estimators can perform better than competitors when they are used to fit predictive models. In particular, we illustrate cases where our precision matrix estimators perform worse at estimating the population precision matrix but better at prediction.