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Activity Number: 455 - Learning Under Nonstationarity
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 10, 2022 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Abstract #319231
Title: A Similarity Measure for Second-Order Properties of Nonstationary Functional Time Series with Applications to Clustering and Testing
Author(s): Anne van Delft* and Holger Dette
Companies: Columbia University and Ruhr University Bochum
Keywords: clustering ; functional data; local stationarity; spectral analysis; time series
Abstract:

Due to the surge of data storage techniques, the need for the development of appropriate techniques to identify patterns and to extract knowledge from the resulting enormous data sets, which can be viewed as collections of dependent functional data, is of increasing interest in many scientific areas. We develop a similarity measure for spectral density operators of a collection of functional time series, which is based on the aggregation of Hilbert–Schmidt differences of the individual time-varying spectral density operators. Under fairly general conditions, the asymptotic properties of the corresponding estimator are derived and asymptotic normality is established. The introduced statistic lends itself naturally to quantify (dis)-similarity between functional time series, which we subsequently exploit in order to build a spectral clustering algorithm. Our algorithm is the first of its kind in the analysis of non-stationary (functional) time series and enables us to discover particular patterns by grouping together ‘similar’ series into clusters, thereby reducing the complexity of the analysis considerably. The algorithm is simple to implement and computationally feasible.


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