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Activity Number:
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153
- Statistics in the Public Sphere
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Type:
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Invited
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Date/Time:
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Tuesday, August 10, 2021 : 10:00 AM to 11:50 AM
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Sponsor:
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IMS
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Abstract #319210
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Title:
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One Person, One Vote
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Author(s):
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Sharad Goel*
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Companies:
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Harvard University
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Keywords:
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Abstract:
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About a quarter of Americans report believing that double voting is a relatively common occurrence, casting doubt on the integrity of elections. But, despite a dearth of documented instances of double voting, it's hard to know how often such fraud really occurs (people might just be good at covering it up!). I’ll describe a simple statistical trick to estimate the rate of double voting -- one that builds off the classic birthday paradox -- and show that such behavior is exceedingly rare. I’ll further argue that current efforts to prevent double voting can in fact disenfranchise many legitimate voters.
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Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
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