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* = applied session ! = JSM meeting theme
Activity Details
6 * !
Sun, 8/8/2021,
1:30 PM -
3:20 PM
Virtual
Highlights in 'Bayesian Analysis': Stories to Tell — Invited Papers
Section on Bayesian Statistical Science , International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
Organizer(s): Michele Guindani, University of California Irvine
Chair(s): Michele Guindani, University of California Irvine
1:35 PM
Can Multilevel Regression and Poststratification Estimate Conditional Treatment Effects from Complex Experimental Data?
Yuxiang Gao, University of Toronto ; Daniel Simpson, University of Toronto; Lauren Kennedy, Monash University
2:00 PM
A Bayesian Hierarchical Model of Violent Criminal Threat
Presentation
Francis Oliver Bunnin, The Alan Turing Institute ; Jim Q Smith, University of Warwick; The Alan Turing Institute
2:25 PM
Sequential Bayesian Experimental Design for Implicit Models via Mutual Information
Steven Kleinegesse, The University of Edinburgh, School of Informatics ; Michael Urs Gutmann, The University of Edinburgh, School of Informatics; Christopher Drovandi, Queensland University of Technology, School of Mathematical Sciences
2:50 PM
Semiparametric Functional Factor Models with Bayesian Rank Selection
Daniel Kowal, Rice University
3:15 PM
Floor Discussion
21 * !
Sun, 8/8/2021,
1:30 PM -
3:20 PM
Virtual
Bayesian Disease Mapping and Spatial Epidemiology: New Directions and New Frontiers — Topic-Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , SSC (Statistical Society of Canada), International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
Organizer(s): Ying C MacNab, University of British Columbia
Chair(s): Andrew Booth Lawson, Medical University of South Carolina
1:35 PM
Graph-Based Multivariate Conditional Autoregressive Models
Presentation
Ye Liang, Oklahoma State University
1:55 PM
Dealing with Large Data Problems in Spatial Disease Mapping
Presentation
Maria Dolores Ugarte, Universidad Publica de Navarra ; Aritz Adin , Universidad Publica de Navarra; Erick Orozco-Acosta, Universidad Publica de Navarra
2:15 PM
Generalized Propensity Score Approach to Causal Inference with Spatial Interference
Andrew Giffin, North Carolina State University ; Brian Reich, North Carolina State University; Shu Yang, North Carolina State University; Ana Rappold, Environmental Protection Agency
2:35 PM
Novel Bayesian Metrics for Small Area Health Surveillance
Joanne Kim, Medical University of South Carolina ; Andrew Booth Lawson, Medical University of South Carolina
2:55 PM
On Multidimensional Markov Random Fields for Latent Spatial Components Analysis and Dimension Reduction
Ying C MacNab, University of British Columbia
3:15 PM
Floor Discussion
23 !
Sun, 8/8/2021,
1:30 PM -
3:20 PM
Virtual
Bayesian Methods and Approaches in Big Data Analysis — Topic-Contributed Papers
International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
Organizer(s): Roberta De Vito, Brown University
Chair(s): Roberta De Vito, Brown University
1:35 PM
Avoiding Prior-Data Conflict in Regression Models via Mixture Priors
Leonardo Egidi, University of Trieste ; Francesco Pauli, University of Trieste; Nicola Torelli, University of Trieste
1:55 PM
A Bayesian Approach to Multiview Learning
Lasse Vuursteen, Leiden University ; Botond Szabo, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Timo van der Poel, Leiden University; Wouter van Loon, Leiden Institute of Psychology; Marjolein Fokkema, Leiden University; Mark de Rooij, Leiden University
2:15 PM
Bayesian Infinite Factor Models with Non-Gaussian Factors
Margarita Grushanina, Vienna University of Economics and Business ; Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter, Vienna University of Economics and Business
2:35 PM
Bayesian Latent Class Models for Verbal Autopsy Data from Multiple Domains
Zehang Richard Li, University of California, Santa Cruz ; Zhenke Wu, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Irena Chen, University of Michigan
2:55 PM
Discussant: Adam Szpiro, University of Washington
3:15 PM
Floor Discussion
41 * !
Sun, 8/8/2021,
3:30 PM -
5:20 PM
Virtual
Storytelling on COVID-19 Impact Using Experts' Prior Knowledge and Data from Social Media, Official Clinical Data, Digital Phenotype from Smartphones' Raw Sensor Data, and Emergency Departments — Invited Papers
International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) , IMS, Royal Statistical Society, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Kerrie Mengersen, Queensland University of Technology
Chair(s): TBD TBD, TBD
3:35 PM
Predicting the Impact of COVID-19 on the Emergency Departments in Lombardy, Italy
Antonietta Mira, Università della Svizzera italiana and University of Insubria; Giulia Ghilardi, Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri IRCCS; Greta Carrara, Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri IRCCS; Angela Andreella, University of Insubria ; Spyros Balafas, University of Insubria; Fabrizio Ruggeri, CNR IMATI ; Ernst C Wit, Universita della Svizzera italiana; Livio Finos, University of Padova; Guido Bertolini, Laboratory of clinical epidemiology; Giovanni Nattino, Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri IRCCS
4:00 PM
COVID-19 and the Perils of Inferring Epidemiological Parameters from Clinical Data
Ernst C Wit, Universita della Svizzera italiana
4:25 PM
Characterizing Lived Experiences of Highly Vulnerable Populations Through COVID-19
Jukka-Pekka Onnela, Harvard University
4:50 PM
Fusing Tweets, Confirmed Cases, and Death Data to Accurately Now-Cast for COVID-19
Conor Michael Rosato, University of Liverpool ; Matthew Carter, University of Liverpool; Robert Moore, University of Liverpool; John Heap, University of Liverpool; Simon Maskell, University of Liverpool; Jose Storopoli, UNINOVE - Sao Paulo - Brazil
5:15 PM
Floor Discussion
66 * !
Mon, 8/9/2021,
10:00 AM -
11:50 AM
Virtual
Frontiers in Bayesian Nonparametric Methods, from Theory to Application — Invited Papers
Section on Bayesian Statistical Science , International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA), Section on Nonparametric Statistics
Organizer(s): Li Ma, Duke University
Chair(s): Li Ma, Duke University
10:05 AM
Modeling Sparse, Dynamic Interaction Networks Using Bayesian Nonparametrics
Sinead Williamson, University of Texas at Austin, Department of Statistics and Data Sciences
10:25 AM
Extended Stochastic Block Models
Daniele Durante, Bocconi University ; Sirio Legramanti, Bocconi University; Tommaso Rigon, University of Milano-Bicocca; David Dunson, Duke University
10:45 AM
BN-LTE: Bayesian Network with Latent Trajectory Embedding
Yang Ni, Texas A&M University
11:05 AM
A Bayesian Nonparametric Model via Mixtures of Erlang Distributions for Survival Times
Juhee Lee, University of California, Santa Cruz
11:25 AM
Coverage of Credible Intervals Under Monotonicity
Subhashis Ghoshal, North Carolina State University ; Moumita Chakraborty, North Carolina State University
11:45 AM
Floor Discussion
158 * !
Tue, 8/10/2021,
10:00 AM -
11:50 AM
Virtual
Statistical Methods for High-Dimensional Data in Health Care and Medical Research — Topic-Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA), ENAR
Organizer(s): Zehang Richard Li, University of California, Santa Cruz
Chair(s): Zehang Richard Li, University of California, Santa Cruz
10:05 AM
Quantile Probit Copula Model for Association in Paired Study Data
Presentation
Roberta De Vito, Brown University ; Isabella Grabsky, Harvard University; Barbara Engelhardt, Princeton University
10:25 AM
Empirical Evaluation of Internal Validation Methods for Estimating Optimism Error in High-Dimensional Electronic Health Record Data with Rare Event Outcomes
Rebecca Yates Coley, Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute ; Qinqing Liao, University of Washington
10:45 AM
Validation of a Portable System for Molecular Diagnostics of SARS-CoV-2
Claudia Wehrhahn, University of California, Santa Cruz ; Maricarmen Quirasco Baruch, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México; Luis Vaca Domínguez, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
11:05 AM
Bayesian Sparse Regression for Healthcare Analytics on Network of Observational Databases
Akihiko Nishimura, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health ; Marc Suchard, University of California Los Angeles
11:25 AM
Empirical Likelihood Approach for Variance Component Test with Repeated Accelerometry Measures
Haochang Shou, University of Pennsylvania
11:45 AM
Floor Discussion
204 * !
Tue, 8/10/2021,
1:30 PM -
3:20 PM
Virtual
Bayesian Methods for the Analysis of Complex Brain Imaging Data — Topic-Contributed Papers
Section on Bayesian Statistical Science , International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA), Section on Statistics in Imaging
Organizer(s): Francesco Denti, University of California, Irvine
Chair(s): Zhaoxia Yu, University of California, Irvine
1:35 PM
A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach to Predicting Time-to-Conversion to Alzheimer's Disease Using a Longitudinal Map of Cortical Thickness
Mark Fiecas, University of Minnesota ; Ning Dai, University of Minnesota; Hakmook Kang, Vanderbilt University; Galin Jones, University of Minnesota
1:55 PM
Efficient Estimation of Brain Activation with Cortical Surface Data Using EM with a Bayesian General Linear Model
Presentation
Daniel Spencer, Indiana University ; Amanda Mejia, Indiana University
2:15 PM
Detecting Brain Activation via Bayesian Mixture of Horseshoe Distributions
Francesco Denti, University of California, Irvine ; Babak Shahbaba, University of California, Irvine; Michele Guindani, University of California Irvine; Ricardo Azevedo, University of California, Irvine; Sunil P. Gandhi, University of California, Irvine
2:35 PM
Bayesian Non-Homogeneous Hidden Markov Models for Time-Varying Functional Connectivity
Jaylen Lee, University of California, Irvine ; Michele Guindani, University of California Irvine; Marina Vannucci, Rice; Ryan Warnick, Rice University
2:55 PM
Bayesian Nonparametric Analysis for the Detection of Spikes in Noisy Calcium Imaging Data
Laura D'Angelo, University of Padova ; Michele Guindani, University of California Irvine; Antonio Canale, University of Padova; Zhaoxia Yu, University of California, Irvine
3:15 PM
Floor Discussion
225 * !
Wed, 8/11/2021,
10:00 AM -
11:50 AM
Virtual
Recent Advances in Bayesian Methods for Complex Data Structures — Invited Papers
Section on Bayesian Statistical Science , International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA), IMS
Organizer(s): Garritt L Page, Brigham Young University
Chair(s): Garritt L Page, Brigham Young University
10:05 AM
Seemingly Unrelated Multi-State Processes: A Bayesian Nonparametric Approach
Maria De Iorio, University of College London and Yale-NUS College
10:35 AM
Optimal Bayesian Estimation of Gaussian Mixtures with Growing Number of Components
Lizhen Lin, The University of Notre Dame ; Ilsang Ohn, The University of Notre Dame
11:05 AM
Grid-Uniform Copulas and Rectangle Exchanges: Model and Bayesian Inference for a Rich Class of Copula Functions
Alejandro Jara, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
11:35 AM
Floor Discussion
232 * !
Wed, 8/11/2021,
10:00 AM -
11:50 AM
Virtual
Near Optimization — Topic-Contributed Papers
Section on Statistical Computing , International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA), Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Organizer(s): Michael Lavine, UMass Amherst
Chair(s): Hugh Medal, UT-Knoxville
10:05 AM
A Study in Rashomon Curves and Volumes: A New Perspective on Generalization and Model Simplicity
Presentation
Lesia Semenova, Duke University
10:25 AM
Near-Optimization, Sampling, and Multi-Objective Optimization
Justin Solomon, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
10:45 AM
Discussant: James Hodges, University of Minnesota Twin Cities
11:05 AM
Discussant: Roshan V Joseph, Georgia Institute of Technology
11:25 AM
Floor Discussion
281 * !
Wed, 8/11/2021,
1:30 PM -
3:20 PM
Virtual
Bayesian Methods for Complex Data Analysis — Topic-Contributed Papers
International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) , Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Organizer(s): Weining Shen, University of California Irvine
Chair(s): Weining Shen, University of California Irvine
1:35 PM
Bayesian Meets Optimization: Proximal Prior, Flow Networks, and Combinatorial Problems
Leo Duan, University of Florida
1:55 PM
Graph Signal Denoising Using T-Shrinkage Priors
Sayantan Banerjee, Indian Institute of Management Indore ; Weining Shen, University of California Irvine
2:15 PM
Bayesian Fixed-Domain Asymptotics for Covariance Parameters in a Gaussian Process Model
Cheng Li, National University of Singapore
2:35 PM
Bayesian Dynamic Feature Partitioning in High-Dimensional Regression with Big Data
Rene Gutierrez, UC Santa Cruz ; Rajarshi Guhaniyogi, University of California, Santa Cruz
2:55 PM
Identifying Latent Groups in Spatial Panel Data Using a Markov Random Field Constrained Product Partition Model
Tianyu Pan, University of California, Irvine ; Guanyu Hu, University of Missouri - Columbia; Weining Shen, University of California Irvine
3:15 PM
Floor Discussion
350 * !
Thu, 8/12/2021,
10:00 AM -
11:50 AM
Virtual
Bayesian Structured Variable Selection — Topic-Contributed Papers
International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) , Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section
Organizer(s): Mahlet G Tadesse, Georgetown University
Chair(s): Mahlet G Tadesse, Georgetown University
10:05 AM
Generalized Structured Shrinkage Priors Using Correlated Scales
Maryclare Griffin, University of Massachusetts Amherst
10:25 AM
Global-Local Shrinkage Prior for Variable Selection in Graph-Structured Models
Marie Denis, CIRAD ; Mahlet G Tadesse, Georgetown University
10:45 AM
Functional Integrative Bayesian Analysis of High-Dimensional Multiplatform Genetic Data (Functional IBAG)
Presentation
Rupam Bhattacharyya, University of Michigan ; Nicholas Henderson, University of Michigan; Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani, University of Michigan
11:05 AM
Bayesian Varying Coefficient Model with Selection
Frédéric Mortier, CIRAD, UPR Forêts et Sociétés, F-34398 Montpellier, France; Université de Montpellier, F-3
11:25 AM
The Dynamic Triple Gamma Prior
Peter Knaus, Vienna University of Economics and Business
11:45 AM
Floor Discussion
359 * !
Thu, 8/12/2021,
12:00 PM -
1:50 PM
Virtual
Geometry and Bayes: Better Together — Invited Papers
International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) , IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Caucus for Women in Statistics
Organizer(s): Didong Li, Princeton University
Chair(s): Didong Li, Princeton University
12:05 PM
Adapting Viral Diffusions to the Geometry of Global Air Transport
Andrew J Holbrook, UCLA Biostatistics
12:35 PM
On the Geometry of Bayesian Inference
Garritt L Page, Brigham Young University ; Miguel De Carvahlo, University of Edinburgh; Bradley Barney, University of Utah
1:05 PM
Diffusion-Based Gaussian Processes on Restricted Domains
David Dunson, Duke University; Hau-Tieng Wu, Duke University; Nan Wu, Duke University
1:35 PM
Floor Discussion
379 * !
Thu, 8/12/2021,
12:00 PM -
1:50 PM
Virtual
Bias and Interpretability in Biometrics for Forensic Science — Topic-Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Advisory Committee on Forensic Science, International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
Organizer(s): Christopher Saunders, South Dakota State University
Chair(s): Cami Fuglsby, South Dakota State University
12:05 PM
Machine Learning Methods for Dependent Data Resulting from Forensic Evidence Comparisons
Danica M Ommen, Iowa State University ; Federico Veneri, Iowa State University
12:25 PM
Covariate-Adjusted ROC Curves: An Introduction and Application to Characterizing Hidden Behavior in Biometric Matching System
Larry Tang, University of Central Florida ; Martin Slawski, George Mason University; Xiaochen Zhu, George Mason University
12:45 PM
Generalized Fiducial Factor: An Alternative to the Bayes Factor for Forensic Identification of Source Problems
Jonathan P Williams, North Carolina State University ; Danica M Ommen, Iowa State University; Jan Hannig, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
1:05 PM
Machine Testimony
Andrea Roth, UC Berkeley School of Law
1:25 PM
Discussant: Mike Smith, FBI Laboratory Division
1:35 PM
Discussant: Christopher Saunders, South Dakota State University
1:45 PM
Floor Discussion
380 * !
Thu, 8/12/2021,
12:00 PM -
1:50 PM
Virtual
Advances in Statistical Learning for Large-Scale and Multidimensional Testing Data — Topic-Contributed Papers
International Chinese Statistical Association , Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
Organizer(s): Xiaojing Wang, University of Connecticut
Chair(s): Jingyu Sun, University of Connecticut, Department of Statistics
12:05 PM
Response Accuracy and Response Time in Cognitive Tests
Paul De Boeck, The Ohio State University
12:25 PM
Testing the Within-State Distribution in Mixture Models for Responses and Response Times
Dylan Molenaar, University of Amsterdam
12:45 PM
A Mixture Response Time Process Model for Aberrant Behavior and Item Nonresponses
Jing Lu, Northeast Normal University ; Chun Wang, University of Washington
1:05 PM
Parallel Markov Chain Monte Carlo for Bayesian Hierarchical Models with Big Data, in Two Stages
Erin Conlon, University of Massachusetts Amherst ; Zheng Wei, University of Maine
1:25 PM
Bayesian Joint Item Response Model of Multidimensional Response Data with Application to Computerized Testing
Xiaojing Wang, University of Connecticut ; Fang Liu, Northeast Normal University; Ming-Hui Chen, UCONN; Roeland Hancock, University of Connecticut
1:45 PM
Floor Discussion
423 * !
Thu, 8/12/2021,
4:00 PM -
5:50 PM
Virtual
Bayesian Microbiomics — Invited Papers
International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) , Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section
Organizer(s): Tony Pourmohamad, Genentech, Inc.
Chair(s): Tony Pourmohamad, Genentech, Inc.
4:05 PM
Bayesian Zero-Constrained Regression Modeling with Structured Prior for Microbiome Feature Selection
Liangliang Zhang, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center ; Yushu Shi, The University of Missouri Columbia; Kim-Anh Do, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center; Robert Jenq, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center; Christine B. Peterson, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center
4:25 PM
Logistic-tree Normal Model for Microbiome Compositions
Li Ma, Duke University ; Jialiang Mao, LinkedIn; Zhuoqun Wang, Duke University
4:45 PM
Bayesian Modeling of Metagenomic Sequencing Data for Differential Abundance Analysis
Qiwei Li, The University of Texas at Dallas ; Shuang Jiang, Southern Methodist University; Nicole De Nisco, The University of Texas at Dallas; Andrew Y. Koh, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center; Guanghua Xiao, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center; Xiaowei Zhan, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center
5:05 PM
Bayesian Variable Selection for High-Dimensional Rank Data
Susheela Singh, Youtube; Brian Reich, North Carolina State University; Can Cui, North Carolina State University ; Ana-Maria Staicu, North Carolina State University
5:25 PM
Discussant: Juhee Lee, University of California, Santa Cruz
5:45 PM
Floor Discussion
424
Thu, 8/12/2021,
4:00 PM -
5:50 PM
Virtual
Inference in Infectious Diseases — Invited Papers
IMS , International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA), JASA Applications and Case Studies
Organizer(s): Julia A. Palacios, Stanford University
Chair(s): Julia A. Palacios, Stanford University
4:05 PM
Bayesian Estimation of the Impacts of Widespread Social Distancing and Other Interventions for COVID-19
Carolin Colijn, Simon Fraser University
4:30 PM
Adaptive Preferential Sampling in Phylodynamics
Lorenzo Cappello, Stanford University
4:55 PM
Using Multiple Data Streams to Estimate and Forecast SARS-CoV-2 Transmission Dynamics
Vladimir N. Minin, University of California, Irvine
5:20 PM
Likelihood-Based Inference for Partially Observed Epidemics via Data Augmentation
Jason Xu, Duke University
5:45 PM
Floor Discussion
437
Thu, 8/12/2021,
4:00 PM -
5:50 PM
Virtual
Misspecification, Robustness, and Model Assessment — Topic-Contributed Papers
Section on Bayesian Statistical Science , International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA), IMS
Organizer(s): Jeffrey W Miller, Harvard University
Chair(s): Tamara Broderick, MIT
4:05 PM
An Automatic Finite-Sample Robustness Metric: Can Dropping a Little Data Change Conclusions?
Presentation
Ryan Giordano, Massachusetts Institute of Technology ; Rachael Meager, London School of Economics; Tamara Broderick, MIT
4:25 PM
Synthetic Likelihood in Misspecified Models: Consequences and Robustness
David Tyler Frazier, Monash University
4:45 PM
Statistical Inference with Stochastic Gradient Algorithms
Jonathan H Huggins, Boston University
5:05 PM
Approximating Cross-Validation: Guarantees for Model Assessment and Selection
Ashia Wilson, MIT
5:25 PM
Robust and Reproducible Model Selection Using Bagged Posteriors
Jeffrey W Miller, Harvard University ; Jonathan H Huggins, Boston University
5:45 PM
Floor Discussion