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Activity Number: 513 - ENVR Student Paper Awards
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 1, 2018 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and the Environment
Abstract #330504 Presentation
Title: Efficient Estimation for Non-Stationary Spatial Covariance Functions with Application to High-Resolution Climate Model Emulation
Author(s): Yuxiao Li* and Ying Sun
Companies: KAUST and KAUST
Keywords: climate model runs; conditional simulation; large datasets; local likelihood estimation; non-stationary Matern covariance function; polynomial approximation

Spatial processes exhibit non-stationarity in many climate and environmental applications. Convolution-based approaches are often used to construct non-stationary covariance functions in Gaussian processes. Although convolution-based models are flexible, their computation is extremely expensive when the dataset is large. Most existing methods rely on fitting an anisotropic but stationary model locally and reconstructing the spatially varying parameters. In this study, we propose a new estimation procedure to approximate a class of non-stationary Matern covariance functions by the local-polynomial fitting of the covariance parameters. The proposed method allows for efficient estimation of a richer class of non-stationary covariance functions with the local stationary model as a special case. We also develop an approach for fast high-resolution simulation with non-stationary features on the small scale and apply it to precipitation data in the climate model.

Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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