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                        | Activity Number: | 343 
                            	- SPEED: Tests, Trials, Biomarkers, and Other Topics in Biometrics |  
                        | Type: | Contributed |  
                        | Date/Time: | Tuesday, July 31, 2018 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM |  
                        | Sponsor: | Biopharmaceutical Section |  
                        | Abstract #329031 |  |  
                        | Title: | Statistical Precision of Time-to-Event Endpoint in Single Arm Observational Study Using Monte Carlo Simulation |  
                    | Author(s): | Meijing Wu* and Hongwei Wang and Yabing Mai and Dajun Tian |  
                    | Companies: | AbbVie and AbbVie Inc and AbbVie, Inc and Chiltern |  
                    | Keywords: | time-to-event; 
                            statistical precision; 
                            Monte Carlo simulation; 
                            single arm |  
                    | Abstract: | 
                            Time-to-event endpoints are widely used in oncology studies.  Various statistical methods have been developed for the sample size and power considerations of randomized clinical trial with time-to-event endpoints.  With more observational studies being conducted for real world evidence generation, it is important to obtain some insight on the statistical precision provided by a given sample size in the observational studies using  real world data.  In this presentation we evaluated the statistical precision of time-to-event endpoints in single-arm observational studies via practical and applicable parametric and nonparametric methods. A Monte Carlo simulation process was conducted under the survival analysis framework incorporating both events and censored observations in multiple scenarios. Different distributions (e.g., Exponential, Weibull, and log-normal) were implemented to simulate the time-to-event and time-to-censoring data with different median survival time, drop-out rates, sample sizes and study duration.  Practical guidance on the assessment of statistical precision and robustness were demonstrated with the simulated data.    
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