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Activity Number:
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618
- Modeling Extremes in Weather, Networks, and Finance
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Type:
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Topic Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Thursday, August 2, 2018 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Risk Analysis
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Abstract #328388
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Presentation
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Title:
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Areal Extremes: An Analysis of the Areal Impact of Heat Waves in Conterminous US
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Author(s):
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Stilian Stoev* and Shrijita Bhattacharya
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Companies:
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University of Michigan and University of Michigan
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Keywords:
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areal extremes;
heat waves;
return levels;
generalized Pareto distribution;
peaks over threshold;
extreme temperatures
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Abstract:
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We study daily temperature records for a span of 100 years for the coterminous US. These data are used to fit a model for the areal impact of extreme heat waves. The model can be used to predict the m-year return levels for the proportion of the US affected by such heat waves. The effect of important covariates such at the El Ninho South-pacific Oscillation and the season are estimated and incorporated in the model.
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Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
