| Activity Number: | 48 
                            	- Longitudinal Modeling and Experimental Design for InvestigatingĀ Host Associated Microbiota | 
                    
                        | Type: | Invited | 
                    
                        | Date/Time: | Sunday, July 29, 2018 : 4:00 PM to 5:50 PM | 
                    
                        | Sponsor: | IMS | 
                
                    
                        | Abstract #326811 |  | 
                    
                        | Title: | Quantifying and Controlling for Sources of Technical Variation and Bias in Longitudinal Microbiome Surveys | 
                
                
                    | Author(s): | Justin D Silverman* and Heather Durand and Sayan Mukherjee and Lawrence A David | 
                
                    | Companies: | Duke University and Duke University and Duke University and Duke University | 
                
                    | Keywords: | Microbiome; 
                            Longitudinal; 
                            Bayesian; 
                            Time Series; 
                            Experimental Design; 
                            State Space | 
                
                    | Abstract: | 
                            Microbial communities can play important roles in both the health and disease of their hosts. However, measurements of these communities are often confounded by technical variation and bias introduced at a number of stages of sample processing and measurement. Here we develop a flexible class of Bayesian Multinomial-Logistic Normal state space models which explicitly controls for technical variation and bias. Paired with this modeling framework we discuss best practices for experimental design; in particular, the use of technical replicates for quantifying technical variation and calibration curves for measuring bias. We demonstrate our approach through both simulation studies and application to real data.    
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                    Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.