Legend:
CC = Baltimore Convention Center,
H = Hilton Baltimore
* = applied session ! = JSM meeting theme
Activity Details
42
Sun, 7/30/2017,
2:00 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-348
A Cornecopia of Statistics — Contributed Papers
General Methodology , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , ENAR , WNAR , Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences , Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences , Biometrics Section
Chair(s): Minge Xie, Rutgers University
2:05 PM
Time Series Disaggregation for Simulation of Spare Parts Inventory Management
—
Thomas Willemain, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute ; Adam George Petrie, University of Tennessee
2:20 PM
Variance Estimation for the Sample Mean of Dependent Data Stream
—
Lei Jin, Texas A&M University -Corpus Christi
2:35 PM
Clustering Adult Cystic Fibrosis and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Patients Based on Lung Function Dynamics
—
Barbara Bailey, San Diego State University
2:50 PM
Computation of Ancestry Scores with Mixed Families and Unrelated Individuals
—
Fred Wright, North Carolina State University ; Yi-Hui Zhou, North Carolina State University ; J. S. (Steve) Marron, University of North Carolina
3:05 PM
Very High Energy Particle-Beam and Gamma Radiation Exposure and Familial Relatedness in Mice
—
Mark P Little, National Cancer Institute ; Pavel Chernyavskiy, National Cancer Institute ; Elijah Edmondson, Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research ; Michael Weil, Colorado State University
3:35 PM
Estimation of the Variance of Nonparametric Trend Estimates from Time Series Replicates Using the Empirical Moment Generating Function
—
Sucharita Ghosh, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL
141 * !
Mon, 7/31/2017,
10:30 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-342
Statistical Analysis of Cyber-Security Data — Invited Papers
Royal Statistical Society , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Organizer(s): Marina Evangelou, Imperial College London
Chair(s): Niall Adams, Imperial College
10:35 AM
Big Network Modeling and Anomaly Detection for Cyber-Security Applications
—
Patrick Rubin-Delanchy, University of Oxford
11:00 AM
Adaptive Threshold Selection for Trust-Based Intrusion Detection Systems
—
Younghun Chae, University of Rhode Island ; Natallia V Katenka, University of Rhode Island ; Lisa DiPippo, University of Rhode Island
11:25 AM
Modeling Computer Network Data Using Markov Modulated Poisson Processes
—
Mark Briers, Alan Turing Institute
11:50 AM
Modelling User Behavior using Endpoint Host Data
—
Melissa Turcotte, Los Alamos National Laboratory
12:15 PM
Floor Discussion
162
Mon, 7/31/2017,
10:30 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-326
SPEED: Government Statistics, Health Policy, and Marketing — Contributed Speed
Government Statistics Section , Health Policy Statistics Section , Section on Statistics in Marketing , Section on Bayesian Statistical Science , Social Statistics Section , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Cynthia Rush, Columbia University
10:35 AM
Using Interrupted Time Series to Examine the Validity of the Surveillance Definition of Catheter-Associated Urinary Tract Infection in U.S. Hospitals
—
Minn Soe, Surveillance Branch, DHQP, NCEZID, CDC
10:40 AM
Comparisons of Calibration Methods for the RECS Engineering End-Use Estimates
—
Shaofen Grace Deng, U.S. Energy Information Administration ; Greg Lawson , U.S. Energy Information Administration ; Chrishelle Lawrence, U.S. Energy Information Administration
10:45 AM
Demonstrating the Usefulness of the National Hospital Care Survey to Track Patients Who Used Outpatient Department and Other Hospital Services Over Time
—
Geoffrey Jackson, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC ; Margaret Hall, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC ; Alexander Schwartzman, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC
10:50 AM
Imputing Water Consumption in Large Commercial Buildings in the 2012 CBECS
—
Jay Olsen, EIA Dept of Energy
10:55 AM
Methodologies for Clinical Trials Using Historical Control
—
Yeh-Fong Chen, US Food and Drug Administration
11:00 AM
Forced Migration: Visualizing Patterns of Refugee Movements
—
Jacquelyn Neal, Vanderbilt University ; Hannah E Weeks, Vanderbilt University
11:05 AM
Raking Weighting Methodology: Reweight Combined Multiple Years of Child Data, the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) Asthma Call-Back Survey
—
Xiaoting Qin, Center for Disease Control Prevention ; Hatice S Zahran, Center for Disease Control Prevention ; Cathy M Bailey, Center for Disease Control Prevention
11:10 AM
Beneath the Veneer of Healthcare Quality Measurement: Sample Size Estimation
—
Adeline Wilcox, Retired
11:20 AM
Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Disability Among Medicare Beneficiaries in Rural Communities: ACS 2012-2015
—
Loida Tamayo, CMS Office of Minortiy Health ; Shondelle Wilson-Frederick, CMS Office of Minority Health ; Elsa Haile, CMS Office of Minority Health ; Cara James, CMS Office of Minority Health
11:25 AM
Child Abuse on Trial: a Statistical Analysis of Shaken Baby Syndrome
—
Maria Cuellar, Carnegie Mellon University
11:30 AM
A Terminal Trend Model for Longitudinal Medical Cost Data and Survival
—
Qian Yang, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Tor D. Tosteson, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Anna N. A. Tosteson, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Jeffrey C. Munson, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Zhigang Li, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire
11:35 AM
Quantifying the Value of Research: Identifying and Measuring Treatment Effect Modifiers
—
Katherine Lofgren, Harvard University ; Daniel Kramer, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center ; Joshua Salomon, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Laura Anne Hatfield, Harvard Medical School
11:40 AM
A Case Study in Adaptive LASSO Logistic Regression: Factors Related to Cyclist Death When Drivers Are Distracted
—
Lysbeth Floden, University of Arizona ; Patrick Anthony O'Connor, University of Arizona ; Melanie Bell, University of Arizona
11:45 AM
Biomarker-Based Cross-Sectional Incidence Estimation with Incomplete Data
—
Douglas Ezra Morrison, UCLA ; Ron Brookmeyer, UCLA ; Oliver Laeyendecker, Johns Hopkins University ; Jacob Konikoff
11:50 AM
An Integrated Analysis and Reporting System for Data Science Teams
—
Iyue Sung, Press Ganey ; David Klotz, Press Ganey ; Jacob Cheng, Press Ganey ; Wei-Han Chen, Press Ganey ; Nikolas Matthes, Press Ganey ; Peggy Miller, Press Ganey
11:55 AM
A Community and Node Attribute-Corrected Stochastic Blockmodel
—
Kristen M. Altenburger, Stanford University ; W. Philip Kegelmeyer, Sandia National Laboratories ; Ali Pinar, Sandia National Laboratories ; Jeremy D. Wendt, Sandia National Laboratorie ; Cliff Anderson-Bergman, Sandia National Laboratories
12:00 PM
Analysis of the Australian Election Study Using Bayesian Quantile Regression Models
—
Charles Au, University of Sydney ; S. T. Boris Choy, University of Sydney
12:05 PM
AARP 2016 Master Model Building and Validation
—
Renting Xu, AARP ; Jared Weiss, AARP, Inc ; Paul Maiste, Lityx,LLC ; Jerrod Begora, Lityx,LLC ; Roger Marcus, Lityx,LLC
12:10 PM
Floor Discussion
241 *
Mon, 7/31/2017,
2:00 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-348
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security CPapers 1 — Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Jane Pinelis, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab
2:05 PM
Modeling and Estimation for Self-Exciting Models of Terrorist Activity
—
Nicholas Clark ; Philip M Dixon, Iowa State University
2:20 PM
Prediction Uncertainty for Autocorrelated Lognormal Data with Random Effects
—
Matthew Avery
2:35 PM
Bayesian Analysis of Explosive Safety Scenarios
—
David Collins ; Eric M. Heatwole, Los Alamos National Laboratory
2:50 PM
Users Are Part of the System: How to Account for Human Factors When Designing Operational Tests for Software Systems
—
Kelly McGinnity, Institute for Defense Analyses ; Heather Wojton, Institute for Defense Analyses
3:05 PM
Did We Commit a Type III Error?: Understanding the Hypothesis Test in Relation to the Experimental Objective
—
Rebecca Dickinson, IDA ; Tom Johnson, IDA
3:20 PM
Interval Confidence Distributions for Tracking the North Korean 'Regression'
—
Robert Shumway, Univ Of California
3:35 PM
Cooperative Search Strategies for Pursuing Adversarial Evaders
—
Nicholas Meyer, North Carolina State University ; Eric Laber, North Carolina State University ; Robert Brigantic, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory ; Nick Kapur, North Carolina State University ; Alyson Wilson, North Carolina State University ; Casey Perkins, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory ; Samrat Chatterjee, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
253
Mon, 7/31/2017,
3:05 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-Halls A&B
SPEED: Government Statistics, Health Policy, and Marketing — Contributed Poster Presentations
Government Statistics Section , Health Policy Statistics Section , Section on Statistics in Marketing , Section on Bayesian Statistical Science , Social Statistics Section , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Jessi Cisewski, Yale University
15:
Using Interrupted Time Series to Examine the Validity of the Surveillance Definition of Catheter-Associated Urinary Tract Infection in U.S. Hospitals
—
Minn Soe, Surveillance Branch, DHQP, NCEZID, CDC
16:
Comparisons of Calibration Methods for the RECS Engineering End-Use Estimates
—
Shaofen Grace Deng, U.S. Energy Information Administration ; Greg Lawson , U.S. Energy Information Administration ; Chrishelle Lawrence, U.S. Energy Information Administration
17:
Demonstrating the Usefulness of the National Hospital Care Survey to Track Patients Who Used Outpatient Department and Other Hospital Services Over Time
—
Geoffrey Jackson, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC ; Margaret Hall, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC ; Alexander Schwartzman, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC
18:
Imputing Water Consumption in Large Commercial Buildings in the 2012 CBECS
—
Jay Olsen, EIA Dept of Energy
19:
Methodologies for Clinical Trials Using Historical Control
—
Yeh-Fong Chen, US Food and Drug Administration
20:
Forced Migration: Visualizing Patterns of Refugee Movements
—
Jacquelyn Neal, Vanderbilt University ; Hannah E Weeks, Vanderbilt University
21:
Raking Weighting Methodology: Reweight Combined Multiple Years of Child Data, the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) Asthma Call-Back Survey
—
Xiaoting Qin, Center for Disease Control Prevention ; Hatice S Zahran, Center for Disease Control Prevention ; Cathy M Bailey, Center for Disease Control Prevention
22:
Beneath the Veneer of Healthcare Quality Measurement: Sample Size Estimation
—
Adeline Wilcox, Retired
23:
Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Disability Among Medicare Beneficiaries in Rural Communities: ACS 2012-2015
—
Loida Tamayo, CMS Office of Minortiy Health ; Shondelle Wilson-Frederick, CMS Office of Minority Health ; Elsa Haile, CMS Office of Minority Health ; Cara James, CMS Office of Minority Health
24:
Child Abuse on Trial: a Statistical Analysis of Shaken Baby Syndrome
—
Maria Cuellar, Carnegie Mellon University
25:
A Terminal Trend Model for Longitudinal Medical Cost Data and Survival
—
Qian Yang, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Tor D. Tosteson, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Anna N. A. Tosteson, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Jeffrey C. Munson, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire ; Zhigang Li, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire
26:
Quantifying the Value of Research: Identifying and Measuring Treatment Effect Modifiers
—
Katherine Lofgren, Harvard University ; Daniel Kramer, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center ; Joshua Salomon, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health ; Laura Anne Hatfield, Harvard Medical School
27:
A Case Study in Adaptive LASSO Logistic Regression: Factors Related to Cyclist Death When Drivers Are Distracted
—
Lysbeth Floden, University of Arizona ; Patrick Anthony O'Connor, University of Arizona ; Melanie Bell, University of Arizona
28:
Biomarker-Based Cross-Sectional Incidence Estimation with Incomplete Data
—
Douglas Ezra Morrison, UCLA ; Ron Brookmeyer, UCLA ; Oliver Laeyendecker, Johns Hopkins University ; Jacob Konikoff
29:
An Integrated Analysis and Reporting System for Data Science Teams
—
Iyue Sung, Press Ganey ; David Klotz, Press Ganey ; Jacob Cheng, Press Ganey ; Wei-Han Chen, Press Ganey ; Nikolas Matthes, Press Ganey ; Peggy Miller, Press Ganey
30:
A Community and Node Attribute-Corrected Stochastic Blockmodel
—
Kristen M. Altenburger, Stanford University ; W. Philip Kegelmeyer, Sandia National Laboratories ; Ali Pinar, Sandia National Laboratories ; Jeremy D. Wendt, Sandia National Laboratorie ; Cliff Anderson-Bergman, Sandia National Laboratories
31:
Analysis of the Australian Election Study Using Bayesian Quantile Regression Models
—
Charles Au, University of Sydney ; S. T. Boris Choy, University of Sydney
32:
AARP 2016 Master Model Building and Validation
—
Renting Xu, AARP ; Jared Weiss, AARP, Inc ; Paul Maiste, Lityx,LLC ; Jerrod Begora, Lityx,LLC ; Roger Marcus, Lityx,LLC
The Speed portion will take place during Session 214530
276 * !
Tue, 8/1/2017,
8:30 AM -
10:20 AM
CC-303
The Role of Statistics and Social Media in Combating Terrorism — Invited Papers
Section on Risk Analysis , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Social Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Iliyan R. Iliev, University of Southern Mississippi
Chair(s): Yulia R. Gel, University of Texas at Dallas
8:35 AM
The Deadliness of Twitter Followers: Evidence from Terrorist Groups
—
Bo Jiang, University of Maryland
9:00 AM
Using Ego Network Analysis to Analyze ISIL Social Media
—
Rob Schroeder, Naval Postgraduate School
9:25 AM
Dynamic Models of Leaders and Factional Networks in Social Media
—
Iliyan R. Iliev, University of Southern Mississippi
9:50 AM
Statistical Modeling of Crowdsourced Content for the Prediction of Crime
—
Matthew Gerber, University of Virginia
10:15 AM
Floor Discussion
214730
Tue, 8/1/2017,
6:30 PM -
8:30 PM
H-Key Ballroom 7
Joint Section Mixer - SPES, Q&P, Statistical Consulting, Statistics in Defense and National Security — Other Cmte/Business
Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences , Quality and Productivity Section , Section on Statistical Consulting , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Chair(s): Laura Freeman, IDA, Charles Kincaid, Experis, Ming Li, Amazon and TAMU - Commerce, James Wendelberger, Los Alamos National Laboratory and University of New Mexico
439 * !
Wed, 8/2/2017,
8:30 AM -
10:20 AM
CC-329
Scan Statistics in Networks and Graphs — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Section on Statistics in Epidemiology , Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Organizer(s): Joseph Naus, Rutgers University
Chair(s): Joseph Naus, Rutgers University
8:35 AM
Network Matched Filters
—
Vince Lyzinski, Johns Hopkins University ; Sussman L Daniel, Boston University ; Carey E Priebe, Johns Hopkins University
9:00 AM
Efficient Pattern Detection in Web-Scale Graphs by Subcore-Tree Decomposition and Subset Scanning
—
Daniel Bertrand Neill, Carnegie Mellon University ; Chunpai Wang, University at Albany ; Feng Chen, University at Albany ; Daniel Hono, University at Albany
9:25 AM
Detecting Cut Constrained Patterns in Networks
—
James Sharpnack, UC Davis Statistics
9:50 AM
Discussant: Nancy Ruonan Zhang, Wharton School , University of Pennsylvania
10:15 AM
Floor Discussion
572 * !
Wed, 8/2/2017,
2:00 PM -
3:50 PM
CC-338
Statistics in National Security Policy — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Organizer(s): Jane Pinelis, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab
Chair(s): Alyson Wilson, North Carolina State University
2:05 PM
Does the Nuclear Balance Matter?
—
Jane Pinelis, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab ; James Scouras, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory
2:25 PM
Measuring the Relationship Between Navy Recruiting Difficulty and Civilian Economic Conditions
—
Jared Huff, The CNA Corporation
2:45 PM
Estimating the Impact of Budget Cuts on Operational Readiness Using Logistic Regression
—
Maryann Shane
3:05 PM
Implementing a Policy of Statistical Rigor in Defense Testing
—
Laura Freeman, IDA
3:25 PM
Variable Selection for the Dynamic Logistic Regression Model
—
Jordan Bakerman, North Carolina State University ; Karl Pazdernik, North Carolina State University ; Alyson Wilson, North Carolina State University
3:45 PM
Floor Discussion
596 * !
Thu, 8/3/2017,
8:30 AM -
10:20 AM
CC-315
Novel Statistical Approaches to Essential Cybersecurity Problems — Invited Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science , Government Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Natallia V Katenka, University of Rhode Island
Chair(s): Gavino Puggioni, University of Rhode Island
8:35 AM
Statistical Anomaly Detection Framework for Cyber-Security
—
Marina Evangelou, Imperial College London ; Niall Adams, Imperial College
9:05 AM
Discussant: Natallia V Katenka, University of Rhode Island
9:35 AM
Discussant: Andrey Lokhov, Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory
10:05 AM
Floor Discussion
633 * !
Thu, 8/3/2017,
10:30 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-331/332
Analysis of Complex Random Networks on the Guard of National Security — Invited Papers
SSC , Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security , Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
Organizer(s): Yulia R. Gel, University of Texas at Dallas, Vyacheslav Lyubchich, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science
Chair(s): Vyacheslav Lyubchich, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science
10:35 AM
Dynamic Text Networks: An Application to Political Blogs
—
David Banks, Duke University
11:05 AM
Inference and Analysis on Social Networks from Newswire Content
—
William Campbell, MIT Lincoln Laboratory ; Lin Li, MIT Lincoln Laboratory ; Joel Acevedo-Aviles, MIT Lincoln Laboratory
11:35 AM
Supervised Community Detection in Dark Networks
—
Yulia R. Gel, University of Texas at Dallas ; Yahui Tian, University of Texas at Dallas
12:05 PM
Floor Discussion
647 * !
Thu, 8/3/2017,
10:30 AM -
12:20 PM
CC-313
Ernest Seglie's Many Contributions to the Use of Statistics in Operational Tests — Topic Contributed Papers
Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security
Organizer(s): Michael Lee Cohen, Committee on National Statistics
Chair(s): Laura Freeman, IDA
10:35 AM
Ernest Seglie's Many Contributions to the Use of Statistics in Operational Test
—
Michael Lee Cohen, Committee on National Statistics
10:55 AM
Dr. Ernest Seglie's Career at DoD
—
Nancy Spruill, US Office of the Secretary of Defense
11:15 AM
Ernest Seglie's Statistical Contributions to DOD TandE
—
Arthur Fries, IDA
11:35 AM
Recent Changes in DOTandE Resulting from Work Initiated by Ernest Seglie
—
Catherine Warner, Director, Operational Test & Evaluation ; David Duma, DOT&E
11:55 AM
Ernest Seglie's Contributions to DOTandE Policy
—
Thomas Philip Christie
12:15 PM
Floor Discussion