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Activity Number: 479
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 3, 2016 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Sports
Abstract #320098 View Presentation
Title: NBA Court Real Estate: The Value of Positioning and Spacing
Author(s): Daniel Cervone*
Companies:
Keywords: Spatial Modeling ; Basketball ; Paired comparisons
Abstract:

Continuously throughout a basketball possession, offensive and defensive players control different regions of the basketball court. An efficient offense creates opportunities for ball control in high value regions (for the appropriate players), whereas good defense suppresses such opportunities. From this competitive dynamic alone, we can infer the implicit value of positioning and spacing among NBA players and teams using hierarchical, spatially regularized paired comparison models.

This allows us to quantify the NBA court "real estate market", enabling new insights and metrics for both offense and defense. For instance, we can measure players' off-ball impact on offense by calculating the value of the space freed up for their teammates to control. For analyzing defense, we can quantify how effectively different teams (and different lineups within teams) contain the offense within low-value regions of the court.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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