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Activity Number: 373
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 2, 2016 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: IMS
Abstract #320095
Title: Efficient Methods in Generalized Mean-Reverting Processes with Change-Point
Author(s): Severien Nkurunziza* and Pei Patrick Zhang
Companies: University of Windsor and University of Windsor
Keywords: Stein-rules, Ornstein-Uhlebeck process, Mean-reverting process, diffusion process, drift parameter
Abstract:

In this paper, we consider an estimation problem in generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with unknown change-point. In particular, we consider the case where the target parameter is drift of the process while the change-point is the nuisance parameter. Further, we consider the scenario where the target parameter may satisfy uncertain constraint. We develop asymptotic properties of the unrestricted and the restricted estimators and we construct shrinkage-type estimators for the drift parameter. Finally, we prove that shrinkage estimators dominate in mean-squared error the unrestricted estimator.


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