JSM 2015 Preliminary Program

Online Program Home
My Program

Abstract Details

Activity Number: 532
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 12, 2015 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economic Statistics Section
Abstract #316628
Title: The Impact of Piped Water on the Mortality in Inter-War Tokyo: Bayesian Disease Mapping Approach
Author(s): Genya Kobayashi* and Kota Ogasawara and Shinichiro Shirota
Companies: Chiba University and Tokyo Institute of Technology and Duke University
Keywords: Disease mapping ; Historical data ; Spatial data ; Markov chain Monte Carlo ; Piped water ; Zero inflation
Abstract:

Recent studies in historical demography found that the expansion of the piped wa- ter provision for national populations played a important role in mitigating the risk of mortality in Uniter States in the early 20th century. In inter-war Japan, piped water sys- tem had also installed at the metropolises and large cities. This paper focuses on the im- pact of piped water provision sponsored by Tokyo City Office on reducing the mortality rate in inter-war period. To examine how piped water regime influenced death risk, this paper analyses newly constructed block-level population census data in Tokyo city from 1930. By employing the Bayesian disease mapping approach, it is found that widening access to improved water through the water pipe sys- tem played a substantial role in mitigating the risk of mortality even though the coverage rate was lower than that of the United States past.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2015 program





For program information, contact the JSM Registration Department or phone (888) 231-3473.

For Professional Development information, contact the Education Department.

The views expressed here are those of the individual authors and not necessarily those of the JSM sponsors, their officers, or their staff.

2015 JSM Online Program Home