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Activity Number: 235
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 4, 2014 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economic Statistics Section
Abstract #312519 View Presentation
Title: A New Goodness-of-Fit Process for VARMA(P,Q) Models
Author(s): Santiago Velilla*+ and Huong Nguyen
Companies: Universidad Carlos III de Madrid and Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Keywords: Brownian Bridge ; Correlation Matrix ; Covariance function ; Model Selection
Abstract:

As an extension of the univariate technique in Ubierna and Velilla (2007), we present a goodness-of-fit process for VARMA(p,q) models in which the residuals of the fit are considered. We also formulate an explicit form of the asymptotic covariance function, as well as a suitable representation of the limit process. More importantly, we propose a new goodness-of-fit process based on a transformed correlation matrix sequence. The new goodness-of-fit process is proved to converge weakly to the Brownian bridge. Several simulations, comparisons, and examples are presented.


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