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Activity Number: 344
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 6, 2013 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts
Abstract - #310375
Title: Statistics in Operational Risks
Author(s): Colin Chen*+
Companies: Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Keywords: Advanced measurement approach ; Frequency modeling ; Severity modeling ; Dependency Analysis
Abstract:

Operational Risks become more and more crucial for financial and other industries. Different from credit and market risks, modeling operational risks often involves with extreme values, heavy tails, and truncated/clustered loss data and thus statistics plays an essential role in modeling operational risks. In this talk, I will review the statistical methodologies popularly used in modeling operational risks. I will focus on the Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA) model, which has been one of the most useful models for operational losses. Starting from the operational loss classification, I will cover Frequency modeling, Severity modeling, Dependency modeling, and Loss Aggregation. Scenario Analysis, Sensitivity analysis, as well as Stress Testing for operational risks will also be briefly reviewed.


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