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Activity Number: 37
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, August 4, 2013 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Survey Research Methods Section
Abstract - #307932
Title: Small Area Prediction of the Mean of a Binomial Random Variable
Author(s): Andreea Erciulescu*+ and Wayne Fuller
Companies: Iowa State University and Iowa State University
Keywords: logistic ; mixed models ; auxiliary information ; binary responses
Abstract:

Direct estimates for small areas or subpopulations may not be reliable because of small sample sizes for such objects. Procedures based on implicit or explicit models have been used to construct better estimates for given small areas, by exploiting auxiliary information. In this paper we consider binary responses, and investigate different cases associated with different amounts of available information. We use generalized linear mixed models and present bias and mean squared error results for different prediction methods.


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