JSM 2011 Online Program

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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 408
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 2, 2011 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Government Statistics
Abstract - #301600
Title: The Use of Longitudinal Analysis to Model PSU Level One-Year Price Change in the Consumer Price Index
Author(s): John Schilp*+
Companies: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Address: 2 Massachusetts Ave. NE, Washington, DC, 20212,
Keywords: Longitudinal Data Analysis ; Consumer Price Index ; American Community Survey Data
Abstract:

Longitudinal Data Analysis is used on American Community Survey data to model PSU level 1-year price change in the Consumer Price Index. The American Community Survey (ACS) is a Census product that provides accurate and current demographic estimates every year for statistical agencies uses. Historical modeling methods from previous CPI revisions will be examined while highlighting the benefits of this longitudinal modeling method. Goodness-of-Fit statistics are calculated while Backward Elimination is used to determine a final model. The resulting model will be used to provide variables to stratify Core Based Statistical Areas in the next revision of the Consumer Price Index.


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