JSM 2011 Online Program

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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 563
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 3, 2011 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Survey Research Methods
Abstract - #301397
Title: Two-Stage Bayesian Benchmarking for Small-Area Estimation
Author(s): Malay Ghosh*+
Companies: University of Florida
Address: , , ,
Keywords: Bayes ; Benchmarking ; Small Area ; Two Stage
Abstract:

Small area estimates are usually model based, and thus when aggregated, do not typically match the direct estimate for a large geographical area. This often causes concern since the direct estimate for a large geographical area is believed to be quite reliable. In order to address this concern, and possibly also to guard against potential model failure, small area estimates are often adjusted to match the direct estimate for the larger area after aggregation. This is usually referred to in the small area literature as benchmarking. The paper proposes two-stage Bayesian benchmarking with one single model. A simple illustration is where one wants to benchmark the state estimates to the national estimate, and then the county estimates to the corresponding benchmarked state estimates.


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