JSM 2011 Online Program

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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 163
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 1, 2011 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #301067
Title: A Phylogenetic Model of Language Diversification for the Dating of Proto-Indo-European
Author(s): Robin Jeremy Ryder*+ and Geoff Keith Nicholls
Companies: ENSAE and University of Oxford
Address: Timbre J340, Malakoff, International, 92240, France
Keywords: MCMC ; language diversification ; dating ; phylogenetics
Abstract:

Language diversification is a random process comparable in many ways to biological evolution. We model the diversification of so-called "core" lexical data by a stochastic process on a phylogenetic tree. We focus on the Indo-European language family. The age of the most recent common ancestor of these languages is of particular interest and issues of dating ancient languages have been subject to controversy. We use Markov Chain Monte Carlo to estimate the tree topology, internal node ages and model parameters. Our model includes several aspects specific to language diversification, such as rate heterogeneity and the data registration process, and we show that lexical borrowing does not bias our estimates. We show the robustness of our model and analyse two independent data sets to estimate the age of Proto-Indo-European.


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