JSM 2011 Online Program

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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 46
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Sunday, July 31, 2011 : 4:00 PM to 5:50 PM
Sponsor: ENAR
Abstract - #300307
Title: Modeling Health Processes for Population Risk Assessments: The Case of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease
Author(s): George Alexander Whitmore*+
Companies: McGill University
Address: 1001 Sherbrooke Street West, Montreal, QC, H3A1G5, Canada
Keywords: Age-period-cohort analysis ; Population health ; Recurrent events ; Risk assessment ; Statistical models ; Threshold regression
Abstract:

Explicit modelling of health processes is important for developing realistic assessments and projections of population health risks. Threshold regression (TR) is a flexible approach to statistical modelling and analysis that requires and facilitates explicit modelling. This talk will review some issues, challenges and insights involved in a TR approach to population risk assessment including, as special topics, the connection of TR to age-period-cohort (APC) analysis and the modelling of recurrent health events. The issues and methodology will be demonstrated using chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).


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