JSM 2011 Online Program

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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 317
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 2, 2011 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economic Statistics Section
Abstract - #300125
Title: Autoregressive Models for Count Time Series
Author(s): Konstantinos Fokianos*+
Companies: University of Cyprus
Address: Math and Stat Department, Nicosia, 1678, Cyprus
Keywords: estimation ; prediction ; stationarity ; autocorrelation function ; covariates ; modeling
Abstract:

Count time series are observed in diverse applications, for instance consider the number of transaction per minute of some stock, or the monthly number of people with a certain disease, and so on. For the analysis of these data, there has been developed a number of models based either on thinning operator or on GLM framework. We will be examining the second class of models which include a feedback mechanism. Such models are expected, in general, to be more parsimonious, pretty much as is the case of GARCH models. It is important therefore to study their statistical properties and develop algorithms for estimation. In particular we will be discussing some multivariate generalizations of previously established models in the literature.


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