This is the program for the 2010 Joint Statistical Meetings in Vancouver, British Columbia.

Abstract Details

Activity Number: 522
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 4, 2010 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Abstract - #307990
Title: Sequential Experiment Design for Emulator and Predictive Maturity
Author(s): Brian Williams*+ and Jason Loeppky and Leslie Moore
Companies: Los Alamos National Laboratory and The University of British Columbia and Los Alamos National Laboratory
Address: MS F600, PO Box 1663, Los Alamos, NM, 87545, United States
Keywords: computer experiment ; sequential experiment design ; model calibration ; Gaussian process
Abstract:

We discuss sequential experiment design strategies for improving global prediction in the context of emulating a computer code or predicting discrepancy when calibrating uncertain parameters of a computer code to experimental data. Criteria used within a batch sequential design algorithm for efficiently achieving these objectives are discussed. A new class of experiment designs - projection array based designs - is introduced. This class generalizes orthogonal array based Latin hypercube design and facilitates space-filling augmentation of space-filling designs.


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