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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 656
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 5, 2010 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
Abstract - #307663
Title: Spatial Scan Statistics with Overdispersion
Author(s): Tonglin Zhang*+
Companies: Purdue University
Address: 250 North University Street, West Lafayette, IN, 47907,
Keywords: Clusters ; Likelihood Ratio Statistics ; Maximum Likelihood and Moment Estimation ; Quasi-Poisson Model ; Spatial Scan Statistics ; Type I Error Probability
Abstract:

The spatial scan statistic has been widely used in spatial disease surveillance and spatial cluster detection. The classical spatial scan statistic assumes the numbers of disease counts in different locations are independently Poisson distributed. However, data may exhibit overdispersion in real applications. This paper proposes a modification of classical spatial scan statistic based on the quasi-Poisson model. Simulation studies show that this modification can substantially reduce type I error probabilities to the significance level, and it is comparable with the classical spatial scan statistic if overdispersion is not present.


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