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Activity Number:
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461
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Type:
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Topic Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Wednesday, August 5, 2009 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statistics and the Environment
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| Abstract - #305674 |
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Title:
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Forecasting Wildfires and Examining the Impact of Global Climate Change
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Author(s):
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Jamie Pearce and Jason Leone*+ and Kristen L. Gore
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Companies:
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North Carolina State University and North Carolina State University and North Carolina State University
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Address:
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2110 Thesis Circle, Raleigh, NC, 27603,
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Keywords:
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Wildfires ; Emissions ; Global Warming ; Global Climate Change
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Abstract:
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The western region of the continental United States continues to see an increase in devastating fires, especially over the last decade. The USEPA is interested in this increase in wildfires and their emissions. The Northern Hemisphere has shown an increase in temperature anomalies steadily over the last thirty to forty years. Similarly, over the last forty years there has been a positive trend in national temperature as well as western and northwestern regional temperatures. At the same time, there has been an increase in the acres burned nationally and an increase in the acres burned per fire on average. This paper will discuss our model to forecast wildfires for the Western United States and examine the potential impact from future global climate change.
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