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Activity Number: 100
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 3, 2009 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #303740
Title: Bayesian Modeling of Non-Gaussian Geostatistical Data via Copulas
Author(s): Souparno Ghosh*+ and Bani K. Mallick
Companies: Texas A&M University and Texas A&M University
Address: Department of Statistics, College Station, TX, 77843-3143,
Keywords: Non-Gaussian characteristics ; Kriging ; Copula ; Mixture model
Abstract:

Real Spatial often data display non-Gaussian features like skewness, heavy-tails or even multi-modes. We propose a general class of models to handle non-Gaussian spatial data. Unlike earlier methods, this approach begins by modeling the marginal distributions and achieves the spatial dependence via elliptical copula. That way we confirm that a valid stochastic process is obtained for spatial prediction. Diagnostic measures and cross-validation show that our model has a better predictive performance than several kriging variants. The proposed model is then extended with a mixture of elliptical copula. Results from simulations and real data analysis demonstrate that this model has the ability to accommodate non-stationary data. Finally a non-elliptical copula model is developed that can be used to model extreme observations recorded over a spatial domain.


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