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Activity Number: 105
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 3, 2009 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #303469
Title: Bayesian Variable Selection Methods Applied to Traffic Fatality Data
Author(s): Gail Blattenberger*+ and Richard Fowles and Peter Loeb
Companies: The University of Utah and The University of Utah and Rutgers University
Address: 1645 E Campus Central Drive, Salt Lake City, UT, 84112-9202,
Keywords: BMA ; EBA ; SSVS ; MCMC ; Variable Selection
Abstract:

This paper looks at three Bayesian variable selection methods in the context of linear regression model specifications that simultaneously address issues related to model and parameter uncertainty. These methods are Extreme Bounds Analysis (Leamer), Bayesian Model Averaging (Raftery et al.), and Stochastic Search Variable Selection (George and McCulloch). The application relates motor vehicle traffic fatality rates in the United States.


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