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Activity Number: 91
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Monday, August 3, 2009 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
Abstract - #303197
Title: The Impact of the Winner's Curse on Parameter Estimation and False Positive Rates in Studies Involving Environmental Exposure Data
Author(s): Sebastian Zöllner*+
Companies: University of Michigan
Address: , , ,
Keywords: Winner's Curse ; GWAS
Abstract:

As researchers begin to incorporate environmental exposure data into association studies it is important to understand how the Winner's Curse will impact parameter estimation and false positive rates studies including gene-environment interaction. We explore this question by simulating case-control data sets under gene-environment interaction and test for genetic association. For markers significantly associated with the phenotype, we estimate its effect size and gene-environment interaction parameters. In the presence of main and interaction effects we observe overestimates of effect with bias increasing as power of the initial test decreases. More surprising is the potential for the Winner's Curse to induce false positives. We also present strategies for overcoming the Winner's curse to generate unbiased estimates of effect sizes and well calibrated tests of GxE interaction.


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