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Activity Number: 106
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 4, 2008 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Business and Economics Statistics Section
Abstract - #301750
Title: Score-Based Portfolio Strategy in Bayesian View
Author(s): Timothy H. Lee*+
Companies: CRM
Address: 595 Croydon Lane, Alpharetta, GA, 30022,
Keywords: Score Strategy ; Portfolio decision ; Bayesian
Abstract:

In some portfolio decision making, a target population is split into subgroups based on selected criteria then various available actions are assigned to the subgroups. Such a practice is usually based on statistically derived scores using two group classification method. The scores are sometimes combined with other score(s) or predictive variable(s)in a matrix or in an equation and then performance for each combination (cell)or score group is observed for portfolio decision. In this study, commonly practiced score strategy was discussed in a Bayesian view point and a combination of an intuitive business approach and a statistical method was suggested for portfolio management in practitioners' point of view.


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Revised September, 2008