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Activity Number: 447
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 6, 2008 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Nonparametric Statistics
Abstract - #301180
Title: A Simple Semiparametric Method for Estimating ARCH Models
Author(s): Li Wang*+ and Lijian Yang and Jianhua Huang
Companies: The University of Georgia and Michigan State University and Texas A&M University
Address: 223 Statistics Building, Athens, GA, 30602,
Keywords: B-spline ; foreign exchange returns ; knots ; news impact curve ; semiparametric regression ; volatility
Abstract:

For the past two decades, stochastic volatility models have been extensively investigated in various ways. Among those models, the non/semi parametric (G)ARCH model is particularly interesting due to the great flexibility of the models to be used without restricting a certain shapes of the volatility functions. Linton and Mammen (2005) considered a class of semiparametric ARCH models. They proposed an estimation method based on kernel smoothing and profiled likelihood, which is theoretical in nature with an analysis that relied on a complicated solution of a linear Fredholm integral equations. To make the semiparametric ARCH models more appealing, we developed a simple semiparametric method based on polynomial splines and an fast algorithm to implement the method in practice. The estimation procedure has been illustrated by the daily foreign exchange return data.


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