JSM Preliminary Online Program
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Activity Number: 215
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 5, 2008 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #300278
Title: Safety Analyses: Thoughts on Tackling Multiplicity
Author(s): Devan V. Mehrotra*+ and Joseph Heyse
Companies: Merck Research Laboratories and Merck Research Laboratories
Address: Mailstop: UG1CD-44, North Wales, PA, 19454,
Keywords: Adverse experiences ; Clinical Trials ; False discovery rate ; Multiplicity ; Safety analyses
Abstract:

Adverse experience (AE) data in randomized clinical trials are routinely evaluated using between-group p-values for every AE encountered within each of several body systems. If the p-values (or confidence intervals) are interpreted without multiplicity considerations, there is a potential for excessive false positive findings that can needlessly cloud the safety profile of the drug or vaccine. We propose a method for addressing multiplicity that achieves an ICH-recommended balance between type I and type II errors. The method involves a two-step application of the Benjamini and Hochberg false discovery rate (FDR) procedure. Data from three moderate to large vaccine trials are used to illustrate the proposed "Double FDR" approach, and a fourth example serves to reinforce the potential consequences of failing to account for multiplicity. (Joint work with the late Professor John W. Tukey.)


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