JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2008 Joint Statistical Meetings in Denver, Colorado.

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Activity Number: 4
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Sunday, August 3, 2008 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security
Abstract - #300251
Title: Statistics in Defense and National Security: Past, Present, and an Eye to the Future
Author(s): James R. Thompson*+
Companies: Rice University
Address: 6100 Main Street, Houston, TX, 77005,
Keywords: beltway bandits ; ombudsmen ; black boxes ; validation ; simulation ; data analysis
Abstract:

It should be a matter of concern that professional statisticians, in matters of defense, have largely lost the modeling, simulation and data analytical functions of our profession. To a large degree, contractors with ill-defined approaches, which are not subjected to validation from field data, have taken over these responsibilities. Statisticians are the de facto ombudsmen of scientific inference. Yet, since the McNamara Era, we have stood by and watched policies, combat models, and black boxes thrust upon our military without any vetting of their underlying assumptions or stressing of their predictive utilities by actual data. We statisticians need to stop going along with the system and start making waves.


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Revised September, 2008