JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

The views expressed here are those of the individual authors
and not necessarily those of the ASA or its board, officers, or staff.



Back to main JSM 2007 Program page

View My Program  /  View My Program (condensed)  /  What is My Program?



Activity Number: 116
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, July 30, 2007 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Social Statistics Section
Abstract - #310345
Title: Scepticism About The Lancet Surveys on Iraqi Mortality
Author(s): David Kane*+
Companies: Kane Capital Management
Address: 30 Washington Street, Newton, MA, 02458,
Keywords: Iraq ; mortality ; replication
Abstract:

Roberts et al. (2004) and Burnham et al. (2006) estimate excess mortality caused by the invasion and occupation of Iraq. Despite intensive media coverage and extensive discussion among statisticians about the technical details and merits of these studies, the authors refused to provide the underlying data and computer code that would allow outside researchers to confirm their results. How, then, can anyone know that those results are accurate? I argue that the authors should follow the replication standard, as outlined in King (1995), and provide their data and code, while maintaining respondent confidentiality. To encourage data sharing in other controversial settings, the American Statistical Association should promulgate the following Guideline: "The results of published studies which fail to meet the replication standard should be disregarded."


  • The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
  • Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2007 program

JSM 2007 For information, contact jsm@amstat.org or phone (888) 231-3473. If you have questions about the Continuing Education program, please contact the Education Department.
Revised September, 2007