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This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 140
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, July 30, 2007 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistical Education
Abstract - #310326
Title: Grammar of Chance
Author(s): Tom Burnham*+ and Milo Schield
Companies: Cognitive Consulting and Augsburg College
Address: 7550 Windsor Oaks, San Antonio, TX, 78239,
Keywords: statistical literacy
Abstract:

The grammar of chance is reviewed. Chance grammar includes odds, risk, likelihood and probability for single percentages. It also includes likely and prevalent along with other comparisons of ratios. Chance grammar is often used in everyday speech in a non-quantitative sense or if calculated from data, the data may not constitute a reasonable statistical universe. In chance statements, it is often difficult to distinguish part from whole or to distinguish the random outcome from the generating process. Examples are reviewed from a variety of sources. This paper examines grammatical devices that are sufficient to eliminate such ambiguities.


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Revised September, 2007