JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 420
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 1, 2007 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: ENAR
Abstract - #310148
Title: Application of Survival Models to Vaccine Efficacy Evaluation
Author(s): Barbara Krasnicka*+ and Sang Ahnn
Companies: Food and Drug Administration and Food and Drug Administration
Address: 1401 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD, 20852,
Keywords: vaccine efficacy ; survival analysis ; Cox model ; predictive accuracy ; heterogeneity
Abstract:

Essential problems encountered in vaccine clinical trials are: finding to what extent the vaccine prevents the targeted disease, and establishing a correlation between disease protection and antibody responses as measured at a given time point after vaccination. In the past, to address these issues, models based on survival analysis approaches, in particular Cox proportional hazard regression model, were utilized. However, interpretation of Cox model parameters is limited. Therefore, there is a need to apply methods such as evaluations of explained variation and/or predictive accuracy. In our presentation, we focus on vaccine efficacy estimation based on time-to-event data, in particular on handling heterogeneity problems in such data. Some useful methods will be discussed.


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Revised September, 2007