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Activity Number: 144
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, July 30, 2007 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Biometrics Section
Abstract - #309893
Title: Variable Importance Selection: Random Forest vs. Logistic Regression
Author(s): Andrejus Parfionovas*+ and Adele Cutler
Companies: Utah State University and Utah State University
Address: 563 N 700 E apt 9, Logan, UT, 84321,
Keywords: variable selection ; Random Forest ; Logistic Regression ; multicollinearity ; classification ; cardiac events
Abstract:

We demonstrate the efficiency of variable selection for multivariate analysis using Random Forests (RF) and compare it to Logistic Regression (LR) using numerical simulations. RF demonstrates higher success rate for choosing statistically important variables on highly correlated and/or noisy data. We discovered the essential difference between the variable selection mechanism of two approaches: the RF assigns importance based on its explanatory value of the variable, while LR focuses on a subset that provide sufficient explanatory effect, thus completely ignoring other variables of possible interest. RF provides more informative insight of the data, is more robust and stable. Using Kolmogorov-Smirnov test we propose a comprehensible and easy to use method to compare the variables importance illustrated on a real-life data example (cardiac events prediction).


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Revised September, 2007