JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 373
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 1, 2007 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #309062
Title: Constructing Bayesian Trials in a Type I Error--Controlled Regulatory World: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly
Author(s): Scott Berry*+
Companies: Berry Consultants
Address: 3145 Chaco Canyon Drive, College Station, TX, 77845,
Keywords: Bayesian ; Adaptive Trials ; Medical Devices ; Type I error ; Priors
Abstract:

The use of Bayesian statistics in trial design allows for innovative adaptive designs to be done. Some strengths of the Bayesian approach include using prior information, flexibility in the adaptive sample size, flexibility in randomization probabilities and predictive probabilities. Many regulatory agencies allow and encourage Bayesian and adaptive techniques in clinical trial design, but constrain the Bayesian approach to satisfy frequentist type I error levels. In this talk I discuss the ramifications of these restrictions: some good, some bad, and some ugly!


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Revised September, 2007