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Activity Number: 379
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 1, 2007 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #308966
Title: Choosing an Appropriate Variance-Covariance Structure for Small Sample Size Data
Author(s): Zhaoling Meng*+ and Xun Chen and Robert Kringle
Companies: sanofi-aventis and sanofi-aventis and sanofi-aventis
Address: 181 Buttonwood Dr, Piscataway, NJ, 08854,
Keywords: variance-covariance structure selection ; repeated measurements ; type I error inflation ; loss of power ; small sample size
Abstract:

In repeated measurement analyses, variance-covariance structure is considered having potential impact on modeling main interests, estimating/testing fixed effects. Choosing appropriately is no easy task. Relying on information criteria such as AIC/AICC/BIC is a common practice but with known limitations, such as overfitting/underfitting. Type I error inflation is often observed. Or a pre-assumed general variance-covariance structure is used, such as un-structured, without consulting data to avoid selection. Such over-generality could lead to significant loss of power, especially for studies with relatively small sample sizes. Simulations were conducted for typical phase I settings, impacts of above two common practices were explored with attention in balancing type I error inflation and loss of power. Benefit of heterogeneity among treatments if pre-knowledge suggests was investigated.


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Revised September, 2007