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This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 208
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, July 30, 2007 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Survey Research Methods
Abstract - #308943
Title: Time Series Analysis of Census Internet Response
Author(s): Fred Highland*+
Companies: Lockheed Martin Corporation
Address: 12226 Detour Rd Box 36, New Midway, MD, 21775,
Keywords: Census ; Internet ; Time Series
Abstract:

Collection of census data over the Internet promises to be more respondent friendly, accurate and cost effective than other methods. However, the characteristics of Internet response over time are not well understood limiting the ability to accurately model, predict and manage take-up. This work theorizes that census Internet response can be modeled as a time series of exponentially decreasing response probabilities associated with stimulating events. The events can be represented as statistical distributions that characterize the events and model response. The theory is applied to census Internet response data provided by Canada, the US and Australia to determine the common characteristics of response events. The approach provides a means to model Internet response patterns over time when calibrated to population and the survey methodology characteristics.


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Revised September, 2007