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This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 334
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, July 31, 2007 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #308772
Title: On Treatment Selection in Accelerated Drug Development
Author(s): Ying Wan*+ and Keaven M. Anderson and Cong Chen and Boris Iglewicz
Companies: Temple University and Merck & Co., Inc. and Merck & Co., Inc. and Temple University
Address: Speakman Hall 006-00, Philadelphia, PA, 19122,
Keywords: accelerated test designs ; clinical trial ; interim analysis ; two-stage design
Abstract:

We present a method for the design of a clinical trial to combine phase 2 and 3 of clinical development. The method provides a two-stage study design allowing a fixed or data dependent number of treatment arms to be selected for stage 2. An example is given to illustrate the method and to examine advantages of the two-stage flexible design. We study some key questions in finding a good strategy for detecting the best treatment(s) and producing a significant result in consideration of limited resources for drug development. Given a prespecified fixed sample size, practical recommendations are made on: whether to select one arm or multiple arms, whether to expand the number of experimental arms in a trial, and what is the appropriate timing of interim analysis.


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Revised September, 2007