JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

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Activity Number: 538
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 2, 2007 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #308271
Title: Evaluation of Risk-Benefit in New Drug Development Using a Global Event Intensity Index
Author(s): Jingli Song*+ and Andreas Sashegyi and Steve Zheng
Companies: Eli Lilly and Company and Eli Lilly and Company and Eli Lilly and Company
Address: 11884 Esty Way, Carmel, IN, 46033,
Keywords: risk-benefit evaluation ; clinical trials ; Poisson regression model ; weights
Abstract:

In a long-term clinical trial of new drug, patients may experience efficacy and safety endpoints over study period, which are usually evaluated individually. Of key interest to regulatory agencies, patients, and clinicians is whether the drug has a positive risk-benefit profile. A good evaluation of risk benefit must account for patients with more than one event, patient's exposure time, and differences in severity levels and background rates among the events. In this paper, a global event intensity index fulfilled the above requirements is proposed to evaluate the risk-benefit of a drug. A repeated measures Poisson regression model is used to analyze the weighted total number of events of a patient over the study period. Weights are pre-determined based on severity levels. An example from a clinical trial of raloxifene is used to illustrate the method.


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Revised September, 2007