JSM Preliminary Online Program
This is the preliminary program for the 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah.

The views expressed here are those of the individual authors
and not necessarily those of the ASA or its board, officers, or staff.



Back to main JSM 2007 Program page




Activity Number: 447
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 1, 2007 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Risk Analysis
Abstract - #307962
Title: Risk Estimation and National Security: Introduction and Overview
Author(s): A. John Bailer*+
Companies: Miami University
Address: Dept. of Math. & Stat., Oxford, OH, 45056,
Keywords: hazards ; exposure ; dose-response models ; uncertainty
Abstract:

Risk estimation might be used to set exposure limits to chemicals in the workplace, to determine allowable contaminant levels for wastewater treatment plants or to establish engineering targets for operating characteristics of the space shuttle. Other examples include the risk of failure of safety systems in nuclear power plants or buildings in response to seismic events. Concerns for the risk of terrorism are not far from conscious thoughts in days of color-coded travel alerts. These concerns reflect a low probability-high impact hazard. In this overview, an introduction to risk assessment ideas including hazard identification, exposure assessment, dose-response modeling and risk characterization will be presented. The distinction between risk assessment for chemical agents and failure of complex systems will be discussed and risk of terrorism will be placed in this context.


  • The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
  • Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2007 program

JSM 2007 For information, contact jsm@amstat.org or phone (888) 231-3473. If you have questions about the Continuing Education program, please contact the Education Department.
Revised September, 2007