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Activity Number: 9
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Sunday, July 29, 2007 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: IMS
Abstract - #307923
Title: Semiparametric Sequential Estimators for Dynamic Causal Models
Author(s): Michael H. Lechner*+
Companies: University of St. Gallen
Address: Bodanstr. 8, SIAW, St. Gallen, 9000, Switzerland
Keywords: Dynamic treatment effects ; causal effects ; nonparametric identification ; sequential randomisation ; programme evaluation ; panel data
Abstract:

This paper proposes inverse selection probability weighting and sequential propensity score matching to estimate dynamic causal effects. A Monte Carlo study shows that the suggested matching estimators perform well in small and medium sized samples. A re-evaluation of some parts of the Swiss active labor market policies based on a dynamic causal model allows the discussion of issues concerning the implementation of the new methods.


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Revised September, 2007