JSM 2005 - Toronto

Abstract #302782

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Legend: = Applied Session, = Theme Session, = Presenter
Activity Number: 101
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 8, 2005 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Business and Economics Statistics Section
Abstract - #302782
Title: Aspects of the Exact Finite Sample Distribution of the Bootstrap
Author(s): Lawrence Marsh*+
Companies: University of Notre Dame
Address: 302 East Pokagon Street, South Bend, 1, 46617-1226, United States
Keywords: multinomial ; hypergeometric ; Taylor series expansion ; wild bootstrap ; block bootstrap ; regression
Abstract:

This paper explores the extent to which the exact, finite sample distribution of the bootstrap can be determined. Using the multinomial distribution for standard bootstrap and the hypergeometric distribution for the balanced bootstrap, the population moments of various sample statistics can be obtained. For highly nonlinear sample statistics, a Taylor series expansion is used (out to plus infinity in Kronecker products) to produce a polynomial in bootstrap-induced randomness. The joint distribution between the bootstrap-induced randomness and the randomness of the unknown distribution associated with the original sample is explored. We conclude that for estimation purposes in many cases, bootstrap simulations can be replaced with exact results. For other cases, formulas can be produced to provide Taylor series, which provide highly accurate results up to machine accuracy. Examples include deriving formulas for bootstrap variances of standard, balanced, wild, block, and least squares regression bootstraps. Future directions include extensions to calculate exact formulas for skewness and kurtosis, Bayesian bootstraps, hypothesis testing, and confidence intervals.


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Revised March 2005