JSM 2004 - Toronto

Abstract #301384

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Activity Number: 217
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 10, 2004 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #301384
Title: Prediction of Riverine Sediment Categories from a Multinomial Reverse Dirichlet Spatial Mixture Model
Author(s): Kyoji Furukawa*+ and Mark Kaiser
Companies: Iowa State University and Iowa State University
Address: 315 A Snedecor Hall, Ames, IA, 50011,
Keywords: spatial mixture model ; Bayes prediction ; riverine sediment
Abstract:

The characteristics of sediment structure in the river bed are known to be important predictors for many biotic responses that are indicators of the overall productivity of an aquatic ecosystem. A statistical model that allows prediction of sediment types is expected to enhance our ability to understand and model the levels of such responses. For this purpose, we develop a spatial mixture model that consists of a conditionally independent multinomial obseration process mixed over a conditionally specified spatial process that possesses Dirichlet-like behavior. The sediment type at an unobserved location is predicted by a Bayes predictor under the squared error loss and the predictive ability of the proposed model is assessed by cross-validation.


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