Predict 5 Contest
Predict Five is a world-wide competition for students enrolled in high school, college, or graduate school that involves predicting events to take place in April 2025. The contest coincides with Mathematics and Statistics Awareness Month, so it is an opportunity for statistics and data lovers everywhere to share their zeal with friends and colleagues.
Here’s How It Works
You will submit your numerical predictions as answers to the following five questions:
- How many articles with the word “climate” in their title will be published in the journal Nature in the month of April 2025?
- What will the closing price of Bitcoin (in US dollars and cents) be at 5:00 p.m. ET on April 30, 2025, according to yahoo!finance?
- According to Box Office Mojo, what will the total domestic box office gross revenue (in US dollars) be for A Minecraft Movie during the month of April 2025?
- How many Toyota Camry vehicles will be sold in the United States during the month of April 2025 according to CarFigures.com?
- In Major League Baseball, how many home runs will the Los Angeles Dodgers hit during the month of April 2025?
Your prediction must be a single number per question.
Your total score will be the sum of squared differences between predictions and actual results. See Table 1 for a hypothetical set of answers by an individual and the individual’s total score. In each category (i.e., high school student, undergraduate student, and graduate student), the individual with the lowest score will be declared the winner.
You may submit only one entry, and all decisions by administrators/judges are final.
Prizes
- Best score by a high school student: $200 and complimentary ASA student membership
- Best score by an undergraduate student: $200 and complimentary ASA student membership
- Best score by a graduate student: $200 and complimentary ASA student membership
- Honorable Mention (high school student): Complimentary ASA student membership
- Honorable Mention (undergraduate student): Complimentary ASA student membership
- Honorable Mention (graduate student): Complimentary ASA student membership
Let’s Get This Party Started
The contest opens March 1, 2025, and the deadline for submitting your entry is March 31, 2025, at 11:59 p.m. ET.
Questions?
All questions can be emailed to Amanda Malloy.
Table 1. Questions for the 2025 Contest with Hypothetical Answers and Total Score
| Question | Hypothetical Answers | Hypothetical Correct Answers |
|---|---|---|
| How many articles with the word “climate” in their title will be published in the journal Nature in the month of April 2025? | 12 | 15 |
| What will the closing price of Bitcoin (in US dollars and cents) be at 5:00 p.m. ET on April 30, 2025, according to yahoo!finance? | $101,578.80 | $101,578.80 |
| According to Box Office Mojo, what will the total domestic box office gross revenue (in US dollars) be for A Minecraft Movie during the month of April 2025? | $95,929 | $96,264 |
| How many Toyota Camry vehicles will be sold in the United States during the month of April 2025 according to CarFigures.com? | 22,934 | 22,470 |
| In Major League Baseball, how many home runs will the Los Angeles Dodgers hit during the month of April 2025? | 48 | 50 |
Based on the answers above, the individual’s total score is (12 - 15)2 + (101,578.80 - 101,578.80)2 + (95,929 – 96,264)2 + (22,934 - 22,470)2 + (48 - 50)2 = 327,534
