Keyword Search
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CC = Vancouver Convention Centre F = Fairmont Waterfront Vancouver
* = applied session ! = JSM meeting theme
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Keyword Search Criteria: Probability returned 107 record(s)
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Sunday, 07/29/2018
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Polynomial Based Approximate Probability Distributions
Chris Elrod, Baylor University; James Stamey, Baylor University
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Probability-Proportional-To-Size Ranked Set Sampling from Stratified Populations
Omer Ozturk, Ohio State University
2:05 PM
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Polynomial Based Approximate Probability Distributions
Chris Elrod, Baylor University; James Stamey, Baylor University
2:10 PM
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Playoff Series and the Incomplete Beta Function
Roger Johnson, South Dakota School of Mines & Tech
2:20 PM
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A Sampling Design for an Ordered Population
Xiaofei Zhang, Iowa State Univ; Wayne Fuller, Iowa State University
2:35 PM
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Toward a Sampling Theory for Statistical Network Analysis
Harry Crane, Rutgers
3:05 PM
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Dealing with Inaccurate Measures of Size in Two-Stage Probability Proportional to Size Sample Designs: Applications in African Household Surveys
Graham Kalton, Westat; Ismael Flores Cervantes, Westat; Carlos Arieira, Westat; Mike Kwanisai, Westat; Jehun Kim, Westat; Elizabeth Radin, ICAP at Columbia University; Suzue Saito, ICAP at Columbia University; Anindya De, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Stephen McCracken, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Paul Stupp, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
3:20 PM
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Monday, 07/30/2018
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Empirical Evaluation for Platt Scaling and Isotonic Regression
Weihua Shi, SAS Institute, Inc.
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The Panic Contagion Probability During an Evacuation Process
Guillermo Frank, Universidad Tecnológica Nacional; Fernando Cornes, Departamento de Física - FCEN - UBA; Claudio Dorso, Instituto de Física de Buenos Aires
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Graphing Effect Sizes or Regression Coefficients on a Probability Scale to Enhance Interpretation of Relative Magnitudes
Clark Andersen, UTMB
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A Probabilistic Tool for Assessing the Laplace Approximation: Review, Optimization, and GPU Implementation
Shaun McDonald, Simon Fraser University; David Campbell, Simon Fraser University
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Does Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity (SOGI) Question-Wording Influence Responses?: Evidence from an Experimental Test in a Non-Traditional Sample
Deirdre Middleton, --None--; Matt Jans, ICF; Naomi Freedner, ICF; Lee Harding, ICF; Ronaldo Iachan, ICF; Scott Worthge, MFour; James Dayton, ICF
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Wasserstein Gradients for the Temporal Evolution of Probability Distributions
Yaqing Chen, University of California, Davis; Hans Mueller, UC Davis
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Combining Inverse Probability Weighting and Multiple Imputation to Adjust for Selection Bias in Electronic Health Records-Based Research
Tanayott Thaweethai, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Sebastien Haneuse, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; David Arterburn, Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute
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Coverage Probability of Empirical Likelihood for Dependent Data
Guangxing Wang, University of California, Davis; Wolfgang Polonik, University of California, Davis
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Using Validation Data to Adjust the Inverse Probability Weighting Treatment Effect Estimator for Misclassified Treatment
Danielle Braun, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health; Corwin Zigler, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Francesca Dominici, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health; Malka Gorfine, Tel Aviv University
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Bayesian Cumulative Probability Models for Continuous Response Variables
Nathan Thomas James, Vanderbilt University; Frank Harrell, Vanderbilt University, Dept of Biostatistics; Bryan E Shepherd, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine
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A Comparison of Methods to Estimate Survival Curves Under Time-Varying Treatments
Lucia C. Petito, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Sonja A. Swanson, Erasmus Medical Center; Miguel Hernan, Harvard School of Public Health
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Bayesian Model Selection for Markov Chains Using Sparse Probability Vectors
Matthew Heiner, UC Santa Cruz; Athanasios Kottas, UC Santa Cruz; Stephan Munch, NOAA
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Detection of Local Discrepancies Between Two Spatio-Temporal Random Fields
Bo Li, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Xianyang Zhang, Texas A&M University; Sooin Yun, Univeristy of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
9:00 AM
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Evaluating Sufficient Bootstrapping for Confidence Interval Estimates: a Simulation Approach
Khairul Islam, Eastern Michigan University; Tanweer Shapla, Eastern Michigan University
9:05 AM
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Coverage Probability of Empirical Likelihood for Dependent Data
Guangxing Wang, University of California, Davis; Wolfgang Polonik, University of California, Davis
9:30 AM
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Ordinal Outcomes: Considerations for the Generalized Linear Model with the Log Link
Gurbakhshash Singh, University of Calgary; Gordon Hilton Fick, University of Calgary
9:35 AM
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Wasserstein Gradients for the Temporal Evolution of Probability Distributions
Yaqing Chen, University of California, Davis; Hans Mueller, UC Davis
9:45 AM
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A Comparison of Methods to Estimate Survival Curves Under Time-Varying Treatments
Lucia C. Petito, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Sonja A. Swanson, Erasmus Medical Center; Miguel Hernan, Harvard School of Public Health
10:45 AM
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Combining Inverse Probability Weighting and Multiple Imputation to Adjust for Selection Bias in Electronic Health Records-Based Research
Tanayott Thaweethai, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Sebastien Haneuse, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; David Arterburn, Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute
10:55 AM
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Bayesian Cumulative Probability Models for Continuous Response Variables
Nathan Thomas James, Vanderbilt University; Frank Harrell, Vanderbilt University, Dept of Biostatistics; Bryan E Shepherd, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine
11:35 AM
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Using Validation Data to Adjust the Inverse Probability Weighting Treatment Effect Estimator for Misclassified Treatment
Danielle Braun, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health; Corwin Zigler, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Francesca Dominici, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health; Malka Gorfine, Tel Aviv University
11:40 AM
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Bayesian Model Selection for Markov Chains Using Sparse Probability Vectors
Matthew Heiner, UC Santa Cruz; Athanasios Kottas, UC Santa Cruz; Stephan Munch, NOAA
12:00 PM
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Adaptive Tests for Object Detection
Grigory Sokolov; Alexander G. Tartakovsky, Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology
2:05 PM
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Statistical Considerations for Using Multiple Databases to Build a Biomarker Probability Tool
Feng Gao; Shijia Bian, Biogen; Wenting Wang, Biogen; Nancy Maserejian, Biogen; Judith Jaeger, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Robert Robert Engle , Biogen; Timothy Swan, Biogen; James McIninch, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals; Feng Gao, Biogen
2:25 PM
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GBM AGILE: a Phase II/III Platform Design with Signature Identification
Todd Graves, Berry Consultants LLC; Donald A Berry, Berry Consultants and M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Jason Connor, ConfluenceStat LLC
2:45 PM
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Exceedance Probability for Parameter Estimates
Brian Segal, Flatiron Health
2:50 PM
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Evaluating the Performance of Different Confidence Intervals for the Bland-Altman Limits of Agreement for Non-Normal Data
Nga Nguyen, UT MD Anderson Cancer Center; Yisheng Li, UT MD Anderson Cancer Center
3:20 PM
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Predictive Probability on Interim Analysis of Time-To-Event Endpoints with Delayed Treatment Effects
Matt Rosales, Astellas; Kentaro Takeda, Astellas Pharma Global Development, Inc.
3:35 PM
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Tuesday, 07/31/2018
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Sample Size and Assurance Probability Calculation in Multi-Regional Clinical Trials
Zuoshun Zhang, Celgene Corporation
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Use of Propensity Score and Disease Risk Score for Multiple Treatments with Time-To-Event Outcome
DI ZHANG, University of Pittsburgh; Jessica Kim, Division of Biometrics VII/Office of Biostatistics/CDER, FDA
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Estimation Methods for Nonprobability Samples with a Companion Probability Sample
Michael Yang, NORC; Edward Mulrow, NORC at the University of Chicago; Nada Ganesh, NORC at the University of Chicago; Vickie Pineau, NORC at the University of Chicago
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Adaptive Design: Challenges in Practice
Michael Yang, NORC
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The Modified Toxicity Probability Interval Design with Consideration of Late Onset Toxicities
Xiaohui Huang, Gilead Sciences; Guan Xing, Gilead Sciences
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Combining Probability and Nonprobability Samples for Population Inference
Jill A Dever, RTI International
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Willingness to Collect Smartphone Sensor Measurements in a Dutch Probability-Based General Population Panel
Bella Struminskaya; Vera Toepoel, Utrecht University; Peter Lugtig, Utrecht University; Barry Schouten, CBS
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Sampling from Twitter: Can a Probability Sample Be Drawn to Target Hard to Reach Populations?
Marcus Berzofsky, RTI International; Tasseli McKay, RTI International; Patrick Hsieh, RTI International; Amanda Smith, RTI Internatinal; Natasha Latzman, RTI International
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Expected Versus Observed Effects on Conditional Probability for Clinical Trial Futility Assessment
Zhibao Mi, VA CSPCC Perry Point; Kelsey A.L. Alexovitz, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center; Xiaoli Lu, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center; Kousick Biswas, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center; Joseph F Collins, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center
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Causal Inference with Complex Surveys: a Comparison of Propensity Score Based Methods
Daniele Bottigliengo, Università degli Studi di Padova; Ileana Baldi, Università degli Studi di Padova; Corrado Lanera, Università degli Studi di Padova; Dario Gregori, Università degli Studi di Padova; Paola Berchialla, Università degli Studi di Torino
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Numerical Comparison of Various Bootstrap Methods in Survey Sampling
Christian Léger, Université de Montréal; Oussama Dabdoubi, Université de Montréal
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Samples, Unite! Understanding the Consequences of Combining Probability and Non-Probability Samples When Linking Records Is Difficult
Benjamin Williams, Southern Methodist University
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Statistical Considerations for Using Multiple Databases to Build a Biomarker Probability Tool
Feng Gao; Shijia Bian, Biogen; Wenting Wang, Biogen; Nancy Maserejian, Biogen; Judith Jaeger, Albert Einstein College of Medicine; Robert Robert Engle , Biogen; Timothy Swan, Biogen; James McIninch, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals; Feng Gao, Biogen
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Are Shoppers Representative of the Population? Using Geofenced Grocery and Convenience Stores to Represent the Population
Davia Moyse, ICF; Matt Jans, ICF; Ronaldo Iachan, ICF; Lee Harding, ICF; Scott Worthge, MFour; James Dayton, ICF; Yangyang Deng, ICF; Tracy Visconti, MFour
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Complexity of Implementing Sample Size Re-Estimation (SSR) in Oncology Trials
Alicia Zhang, Amgen; Yuqi Chen, Amgen; Chris Holland, Amgen
8:35 AM
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Comparing the Reliability of Related Populations with the Probability of Agreement
Nathaniel Stevens, University of San Francisco
8:55 AM
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Expected Versus Observed Effects on Conditional Probability for Clinical Trial Futility Assessment
Zhibao Mi, VA CSPCC Perry Point; Kelsey A.L. Alexovitz, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center; Xiaoli Lu, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center; Kousick Biswas, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center; Joseph F Collins, VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center
8:55 AM
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Are Shoppers Representative of the Population? Using Geofenced Grocery and Convenience Stores to Represent the Population
Davia Moyse, ICF; Matt Jans, ICF; Ronaldo Iachan, ICF; Lee Harding, ICF; Scott Worthge, MFour; James Dayton, ICF; Yangyang Deng, ICF; Tracy Visconti, MFour
8:55 AM
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Sequential Change-Point Detection Based on Nearest Neighbors
Hao Chen, University of California, Davis
9:00 AM
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Combining Probability and Nonprobability Samples for Population Inference
Jill A Dever, RTI International
9:05 AM
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Willingness to Collect Smartphone Sensor Measurements in a Dutch Probability-Based General Population Panel
Bella Struminskaya; Vera Toepoel, Utrecht University; Peter Lugtig, Utrecht University; Barry Schouten, CBS
9:10 AM
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Sampling from Twitter: Can a Probability Sample Be Drawn to Target Hard to Reach Populations?
Marcus Berzofsky, RTI International; Tasseli McKay, RTI International; Patrick Hsieh, RTI International; Amanda Smith, RTI Internatinal; Natasha Latzman, RTI International
9:20 AM
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A General Analytical Framework for Deriving Probability of Success
Ron Yu, Gilead Sciences, Inc.; Liang Fang, MyoKardia; Xiaomin Lu, Gilead Sciences, Inc.
9:35 AM
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Regression Splines and Multi-Group Propensity Score Weighting for the Study of Surgical Volume-Outcome Relationships
Jennifer Cooper, Nationwide Children's Hospital
9:55 AM
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Leveraging Bayesian Methods, Modeling, and Simulation to Improve Decision-Making and Increase Probability of Success
Karen Price; Stephen Ruberg, Analytix Thinking, LLC
9:55 AM
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Samples, Unite! Understanding the Consequences of Combining Probability and Non-Probability Samples When Linking Records Is Difficult
Benjamin Williams, Southern Methodist University
9:55 AM
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Estimating Causal Effects of Organ Transplantation Treatment Regimes
David Michael Vock, University of Minnesota; Jeffrey Boatman, Gustavus Adolphus College
10:35 AM
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Unexpected Safety Signals in Dose Escalation Process
Chunzhang Wu, Astellas Pharma Global Development, Inc.
10:50 AM
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Numerical Comparison of Various Bootstrap Methods in Survey Sampling
Christian Léger, Université de Montréal; Oussama Dabdoubi, Université de Montréal
11:00 AM
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An Application of Covariate-Adjusted Partial Spearman's Rank Correlations with Probability-Scale Residuals
Cathy A Jenkins, Vanderbilt University Medical Center; John R Koethe, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine; Timothy R Sterling, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine; Spyros A Kalams, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine; Bryan E Shepherd, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine
11:05 AM
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Robust Estimation of Propensity Score Weights via Subclassification
Linbo Wang; Xiao-Hua Zhou, Peking University; Thomas Richardson, University of Washington
11:15 AM
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Estimation of the Dose-Response Curve in the Presence of Outcome Driven Dose Titrations
Zhuqing Liu, Eli Lilly; Yongming Qu, Eli Lilly and Company
11:20 AM
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Implementing the HyFlex (Hybrid-Flexible) Model of Course Delivery in a Probability and Statistics Course for Engineers and Scientists
Jackie Miller, University of Michigan; Melinda E Baham, Baham Consulting
11:35 AM
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Frechet Analysis of Variance for Random Objects
Paromita Dubey, University of California, Davis; Hans Mueller, UC Davis
11:55 AM
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Causal Inference with Complex Surveys: a Comparison of Propensity Score Based Methods
Daniele Bottigliengo, Università degli Studi di Padova; Ileana Baldi, Università degli Studi di Padova; Corrado Lanera, Università degli Studi di Padova; Dario Gregori, Università degli Studi di Padova; Paola Berchialla, Università degli Studi di Torino
11:55 AM
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Maximum Likelihood Estimation of First-Passage Structural Credit Risk Models Correcting for the Survivorship Bias
Mathieu Boudreault, Université du Québec à Montréal; Diego Amaya, Wilfrid Laurier University; Don L. McLeish, University of Waterloo
2:05 PM
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New Method of Evaluation of Limit of Detection (LoD) in Molecular Diagnostics
Jeffrey Vaks, Roche Molecular Diagnostics
2:05 PM
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A Bayesian Framework for Calculating Predictive Probability of Success in Biomarker Development
Cong Li; Ling Wang, Takeda; Ray Liu, Takeda Pharmaceuticals Inc
2:05 PM
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Wednesday, 08/01/2018
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Non-Probability Sampling
Karol Krotki, RTI International
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ADAPT: a Dynamic Approach to Probability Thresholding Based on Healthy Controls
Alessandra Valcarcel, University of Pennsylvania; Russell T Shinohara, University of Pennsylvania
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The Impact of Analysis Method and Model Specification for Handling Missing Covariate Data in Survival Analysis: a Case Study
Evon Okidi, Brown University; Joseph W Hogan, Brown University School of Public Health; Chanelle Howe, Brown University
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Bayesian Adaptive Design of Phase 2 Dose-Finding Study
Tanya Granston, CTI BioPharma Corp.; Huafeng Zhou, CTI BioPharma Corp.; Lixia Wang, CTI BioPharma Corp.
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Estimation of Outcome Trajectory Using Inverse Probability of Censoring Weighting When Data Are Missing Not at Random
Dustin Rabideau, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Constantin T. Yiannoutsos, Indiana University Fairbanks School of Public Health; Ronald J. Bosch, Center for Biostatistics in AIDS Research, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Judith Lok, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
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A Nonparametric Estimator for the Probability of Causation
Maria Cuellar, Carnegie Mellon University; Edward Kennedy, Carnegie Mellon University
8:35 AM
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When There Can Be Only One: The Highlander Probability Model for Historical Record Linkage with Labeled Data
Jared S Murray, University of Texas at Austin
8:35 AM
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BLINDED SAMPLE SIZE RE-ESTIMATION
Chien-Hua Wu, Chung-Yuan Christian University; Shu-Mei Wan, Lunghwa University of Science and Technology
9:05 AM
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A Probability Based Method for Selecting the Optimal Personalized Treatment from Multiple Treatments
Karunarathna B Kulasekera, University of Louisville; Chathura Siriwardhana, University of Hawaii; Somnath Datta, University of Florida
9:15 AM
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Bayesian Adaptive Design of Phase 2 Dose-Finding Study
Tanya Granston, CTI BioPharma Corp.; Huafeng Zhou, CTI BioPharma Corp.; Lixia Wang, CTI BioPharma Corp.
9:45 AM
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Estimation of Outcome Trajectory Using Inverse Probability of Censoring Weighting When Data Are Missing Not at Random
Dustin Rabideau, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Constantin T. Yiannoutsos, Indiana University Fairbanks School of Public Health; Ronald J. Bosch, Center for Biostatistics in AIDS Research, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; Judith Lok, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
9:45 AM
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Mixing Modes Versus Providing Internet Equipment: How Do Different Strategies of Including the Offline Population Affect Probability-Based Online Panel Data Over Time?
Carina Cornesse, University of Mannheim; Ines Schaurer, GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences
10:35 AM
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Linking Input Inequality and Outcome Inequality
Guillermina Jasso, New York University
10:50 AM
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Estimating Probability of Simultaneous Success with Multiple Endpoints Using Truncated Multi-Variate Correlated Normal Distribution
Tianshuang Wu, AbbVie; Yihua Gu, AbbVie; Ziqian Geng, AbbVie; Saurabh Mukhopadhyay, AbbVie
10:50 AM
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Using Calibration Weighting in Samples with a Non-Probability Component
Jamie Ridenhour, RTI International; Phil Kott, RTI
10:55 AM
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Model Assessment in Causal Inference Using Explicit Validators
Booil Jo, Stanford University
11:15 AM
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Spectral Clustering via Unsupervised Random Forests
William Biscarri, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Robert J. Brunner, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Ruoqing Zhu, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
11:50 AM
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Combining Probability and Non-Probability Samples: Theory and Practice
Michael Elliott, University of Michigan; Richard Valliant, University of Michigan; Jack Chen, SurveyMonkey
2:05 PM
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Teaching Probability via Stories and Mistakes
Joseph Blitzstein, Harvard University
2:05 PM
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A Simulation-Based Approach to Teaching Probability Using the Symbulate Package
Kevin J Ross, Cal Poly; Dennis L Sun, Cal Poly and Google
2:25 PM
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A Kernel Weighting Approach to Improve Population Representativeness of Epidemiological Cohort in the Analysis
Lingxiao Wang, The Joint Program in Survey Methodology, University of Maryland, College Park; Barry Ira Graubard, National Cancer Institute; Hormuzd A. Katki, Biostatistics Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology & Genetics, National Cancer Institute; Yan Li, University of Maryland at College Park
2:30 PM
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Display Advertising: Estimating Conversion Probability Efficiently
Abdollah Safari, Simon Fraser University; Rachel MacKay Altman, Simon Fraser University; Thomas Loughin, Simon Fraser University
2:35 PM
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Using Texas Hold 'Em Examples to Teach Probability
Frederic Paik Schoenberg, UCLA
3:05 PM
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Thursday, 08/02/2018
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Virtual Listing: GIS Approaches to Improve Survey Listing Efficiency
Michael Giangrande, Westat; J. Michael Brick, Westat; David Morganstein, Westat; Katie Lewis, U.S. Energy Information Administration
9:20 AM
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Inverse Sampling for Hypothesis Testing of Multinomial Models
Hokwon Cho, University of Nevada, Las Vegas
9:35 AM
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A Sequential Probability Ratio Test for Higher Criticism
Wenhua Jiang, Fudan University; Cun-Hui Zhang, Rutgers University
9:50 AM
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Xbar Chart with Estimated Parameters: New Formulas to Guarantee a Conditional In-Control Performance
Felipe Jardim, Pontifical Catholic University of Rio De Janeiro; Subhabrata Chakraborti, University of Alabama; Eugenio Kahn Epprecht, Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro
10:50 AM
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Some Thoughts on Joint Probability Method (JPM) for Estimating Storm Surges
Whitney Huang, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute
10:55 AM
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Bayesian Predictive Probability for Interim Analysis
Dung-Tsa Chen, Moffitt Cancer Center
11:05 AM
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"Robust-Squared" Imputation Models Using BART
Yaoyuan Tan, University of Michigan; Carol A.C. Flannagan, University of Michigan, Transport Research Institute; Michael Elliott, University of Michigan
11:20 AM
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First Reproducible Nationwide Survey on Substance Use in Brazil: Survey Design and Weighting
Pedro Luis do Nascimento Silva, IBGE-ENCE; Mauricio Teixeira Leite de Vasconcellos, IBGE-ENCE; Raquel B De Boni, FIOCRUZ; Francisco Inacio Pinkusfeld Monteiro Bastos, FIOCRUZ; Neilane Bertoni dos Reis, Instituto Nacional de Câncer; Carolina Fausto de Souza Coutinho, FIOCRUZ; Jurema Corrêa da Mota, FIOCRUZ; Lidiane da Silveira Gouvea Toledo, FIOCRUZ
11:20 AM
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Regularized Calibrated Estimation of Propensity Scores with Model Misspecification and High-Dimensional Data
Zhiqiang Tan, Rutgers University
11:25 AM
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A Bayesian Approach to Sequential Analysis in Post-Licensure Vaccine Safety Surveillance
Rongxia Li, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
11:35 AM
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A Unified Probability Model for Pathogenic Etiology of Infectious Diseases
Nong Shang, CDC
12:05 PM
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