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Keyword Search Criteria: Forecast returned 34 record(s)
Sunday, 07/30/2017
Nonparametric Bayesian Survival Models in a Demand Forecasting Application
Ta-Hsin Li, IBM Watson Research Center
2:05 PM

A Bayesian Model for Forecasting Time Series in a Hierarchically Structured Organization
Julie Novak, IBM; Beatriz Etchegaray, IBM Research
2:20 PM

The Use of Artificial Neural Network in Time Series Forecasting
Taysseer Sharaf, University of Michigan- Dearborn
2:20 PM

Robust Probabilistic Forecasting
Wanfang Chen, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology; Marc G. Genton, KAUST
4:20 PM

Monday, 07/31/2017
Bayesian Predictive Synthesis for Probabilistic Forecast Calibration and Combination
Matt Johnson, Duke University; Mike West, Duke University


Unexpected Customer Relationship Leads to Doubling Market Share Through Predictive Analytics and Data Mining
Steven Reagan, L&L Products, Inc.


Estimation of Sparse Vector Autoregressive Moving Averages
David S Matteson, Cornell University; Ines Wilms, KU Leuven; Jacob Bien, Cornell University
9:25 AM

Bayesian Predictive Synthesis for Probabilistic Forecast Calibration and Combination
Matt Johnson, Duke University; Mike West, Duke University
9:50 AM

Validating a Time Series Model for Supply Chain Inventory Data
Morris Morgan, Hampton University; Carolyn Bradshaw Morgan, MECK Limited,LLC; Eric Abram Morgan, St. Michael's Inc.; Kristin Morgan, University of Connecticut
10:35 AM

A Markov Switching Causal-Noncausal Autoregressive Model with Application to Economic Bubbles
Anton Lobach, University of Rhode Island. Dept. of Computer Science and Statistics; Gavino Puggioni, University of Rhode Island, Department of Computer Science and Statistics
10:50 AM

Automatic Forecasting of Hourly Electricity Demand with a Computationally Efficient Semiparametric Time Series Model
Jun Liu, Georgia Southern University
11:05 AM

A Temporal Appraisal of Profitability in the Fortune 500: 1955 - 2016
Leo Upchurch, Tuskegee University (CBIS); Fan University Wu, Tuskegee University (CBIS)
11:20 AM

Unexpected Customer Relationship Leads to Doubling Market Share Through Predictive Analytics and Data Mining
Steven Reagan, L&L Products, Inc.
11:55 AM

Stochastic Seasonality, Contemporaneous Inference, and Forecasting in the Presence of More Volatile Weather
William Wei-Choun Yu, UCLA Anderson School of Management; Jerry Nickelsburg, UCLA Anderson School of Management
3:35 PM

Tuesday, 08/01/2017
Bayesian Hierarchical Reporting Delay Model in Infectious Disease Forecasting
Krzysztof Sakrejda, University of Massachusetts - Amherst; Nicholas G. Reich, University of Massachusetts Amherst; Stephen Lauer, University of Massachusetts - Amherst


Model Averaging for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasts
Evan L. Ray, University of Massachusetts, Amherst; Nicholas G. Reich, University of Massachusetts Amherst


Optimising Inflation Forecasts Based on Web-Scraped Price Data
Ben Powell, University of Bristol
8:35 AM

Predicting Travel Time Reliability Using Mobile Phone GPS Data
Dawn Woodard, Uber Technologies, Inc.
9:35 AM

Modeling Weather-Induced Home Insurance Risks with Support Vector Machine Regression
Vyacheslav Lyubchich, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science; Yulia R. Gel, University of Texas at Dallas; Asim Kumer Dey, University of Texas at Dallas
9:35 AM

Model Averaging for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasts
Evan L. Ray, University of Massachusetts, Amherst; Nicholas G. Reich, University of Massachusetts Amherst
10:10 AM

A Hierarchical Spatio-Temporal Analog Forecasting Model for Nonlinear Ecological Processes
Patrick McDermott, University of Missouri; Christopher Wikle, University of Missouri; Joshua Millspaugh, University of Montana
10:55 AM

Modeling of Stock Indices with HMM-SV Models
John Wulu, DHS/ICE & HSI; Edesiri B Nkemnole, Department of Mathematics, University of Lagos; John T Wulu, University of Maryland University College
2:20 PM

Anticipating Brexit Effects in Time Series Analysis
Charlotte Gaughan, Office for National Statistics; Atanaska Nikolovo, Office for National Statistics
3:25 PM

Wednesday, 08/02/2017
An in Depth Analysis of the Double EWMA CC Based on a Linear Prediction
Rafael Perez Abreu, University of Northen Colorado; Jay Schaffer, University of Northern Colorado


Volatility Forecasting with Empirical Similarity: Japanese Stock Market Case
Yoshinori Kawasaki, Institute of Statistical Mathematics; Takayuki Morimoto, Kwansei Gakuin University


Dynamic Linear Model Forecasts for Wind Direction and Speed
Patrick Edmonds, Iowa State University; Cindy L Yu, Iowa State University


Constructing Diffusion Index Forecasts in Nonstationary Data Environments: The Role of Common Stochastic Trends
Mohitosh Kejriwal, Purdue University; Haiqing Zhao, Purdue University
10:50 AM

Business Cycle Synchronization: A Bayesian Model of Survey Forecasts
Kajal Lahiri, SUNY - Albany; Herbert Zhao, Towson University
11:05 AM

Standardizing Assessment of Time-Series Forecasting Models
Nicholas G. Reich, University of Massachusetts Amherst; Joshua Kaminsky, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Lindsay Keegan, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Stephen Lauer, University of Massachusetts - Amherst; Krzysztof Sakrejda, University of Massachusetts - Amherst; Justin Lessler, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
11:35 AM

Mesoscale Spatial Forecast Verification Over Complex Terrain
Eric Gilleland, NCAR; Manfred Dorninger, University of Vienna; Marion Mittermaier, MetOffice, U.K.; Barbara G. Brown, NCAR; Elizabeth E. Ebert, Bureau of Meteorology; Barbara Casati, Environment Canada; Laurence Wilson, Environment Canada
2:05 PM

Variable Selection for the Dynamic Logistic Regression Model
Jordan Bakerman, North Carolina State University; Karl Pazdernik, North Carolina State University; Alyson Wilson, North Carolina State University
3:25 PM

Thursday, 08/03/2017
Estimating Country Indexes Returns Based on Earnings Forecasts
Daiane Dos Santos, PUC - Rio de Janeiro; Ricardo Weiss, R Weiss Consultoria
8:50 AM

A Model-Based Approach to Crop Yield Forecasting
Nathan Cruze, USDA-NASS; Habtamu Benecha, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
9:35 AM

Forecast Evaluation with Imperfect Observations and Imperfect Models
Julie Bessac, Argonne National Laboratory; Philippe Naveau , Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et l'Environnement (LSCE) CNRS; Aurelien Ribes , CNRM - Meteo France ; Emil Mihai Constantinescu , Argonne National Laboratory ; Mihai Anitescu, Argonne National Laboratory
11:20 AM

 
 
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